ConferenceThu 11:45 AM CTJohan Cruijff Arena
FC Thun at Ajax Amsterdam
TV · Paramount+
@FC ThunAjax
Thu 11:45 AM CT
Games & odds only · model picks aren't published for this league yet.
FC Thun
1-0-2
Form WLLDL · 3 PF · 3 PA
1.02
Projected
Ajax Amsterdam
2-0-1 · computer pick
Form DWWWW · 9 PF · 3 PA
1.89
THUN 20%Draw 22%AJA 58%
Projected THUN 1.02–1.89 AJA · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
THUN 1.02–1.89 AJA · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseAJA +0.5 off · THUN -0.1 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+0.3 goals to AJA
- RecordAJA 2-0-1 · THUN 1-0-2
Season leaders
- Brighton Labeaugoals 1
- Brighton Labeaugoalsleaders 1
- Tolu Arokodaregoals 3
- Tolu Arokodaregoalsleaders 3
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| THUN | AJA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 0 | 6 |
| Total Goals | 3 | 9 |
| Assists | 1 | 9 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
FC Thun vs Ajax prediction · Nov 26, 2026
The model projects FC Thun 1.0, Ajax 1.9. Model win probability: Ajax 58%, FC Thun 20%, draw 22%.
More: Conference picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day