ConferenceThu 11:45 AM CTAlphamega Stadium
FC Midtjylland at Pafos
TV · Paramount+
@MidtjyllandPafos
Thu 11:45 AM CT
Games & odds only · model picks aren't published for this league yet.
FC Midtjylland
0-1-2
Form DLWWL · 2 PF · 8 PA
1.27
Projected
Pafos
0-1-2 · computer pick
Form LDLWD · 3 PF · 7 PA
1.72
MID 28%Draw 24%PAF 48%
Projected MID 1.27–1.72 PAF · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
MID 1.27–1.72 PAF · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defensePAF -0.1 off · MID -0.2 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+0.3 goals to PAF
- RecordPAF 0-1-2 · MID 0-1-2
Season leaders
- Cho Gue-Sunggoals 1
- Cho Gue-Sunggoalsleaders 1
- Gabriel Teixeiragoals 2
- Gabriel Teixeiragoalsleaders 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MID | PAF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | -6 | -4 |
| Total Goals | 2 | 3 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 7 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Midtjylland vs Pafos prediction · Nov 26, 2026
The model projects Midtjylland 1.3, Pafos 1.7. Model win probability: Pafos 48%, Midtjylland 28%, draw 24%.
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