Champions LeagueWed 2:00 PM CTEstádio José Alvalade

LASK Linz at Sporting CP

TV · Paramount+

Wed 2:00 PM CT
Computer pick · Total
Under 3.5
55%

LAS 1.07–2.39 SCP

Data-Driven Pick · F. Ioannidis anytime goal

-110
LASK Linz
0-0-2
Form DLLDL · 3 PF · 7 PA
1.07
Projected
Sporting CP
2-0-0
Form DWDDW · 5 PF · 1 PA
2.39
LAS 16%Draw 18%SCP 66%

Projected LAS 1.07–2.39 SCP · most likely 1–2

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Total

The model

How this number was built

LAS 1.07–2.39 SCP · Low confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

  • Attack / defense
    SCP +0.3 off · LAS -0.0 off, shrunk 25%
  • Home field
    +0.3 goals to SCP
  • Record
    SCP 2-0-0 · LAS 0-0-2
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Florian Flecker
    goals 2
  • Florian Flecker
    goalsleaders 2
  • Luis Suárez
    goals 2
  • Luis Suárez
    goalsleaders 2

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

LASSCP
Goal Difference-44
Total Goals35
Assists32
Goals Against71

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Data-Driven PickComputer pick

F. Ioannidis anytime goal

-11052%

Anytime goal · DraftKings

  • R. Nel anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    -110
    52%
  • N. Irankunda anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +125
    44%
  • J. Derry anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +145
    41%
  • G. Catamo anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +205
    33%
  • I. Doumbia anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +215
    32%
  • S. Kalajdzic anytime goal
    Anytime goal · LAS
    +400
    20%
  • S. Altimira anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +500
    17%
  • M. Araújo anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +600
    14%
  • E. Quaresma anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +700
    13%
  • A. Schöpf anytime goal
    Anytime goal · LAS
    +950
    10%
  • Z. Debast anytime goal
    Anytime goal · SCP
    +1100
    8%

LASK Linz vs Sporting prediction · Oct 21, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 3.5, with a 55% model probability. The model projects LASK Linz 1.1, Sporting 2.4. Model win probability: Sporting 66%, LASK Linz 16%, draw 18%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: Champions League picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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