Fenerbahce at Shakhtar Donetsk
TV · Paramount+
@Model projects FEN 1.04 – 1.78 SHK · below the strong-play bar (edge -4.0%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
A. Brown · FEN
DefenderG. Mendoza · SHK
Midfielder
Projected prop · Gleiker Mendoza (SHK) 0.60 goals · 0.50 goals/game this season, × 1.20 for the projected SHK score
At lock: projected FEN 1.04–1.78 SHK · most likely 1–1 · likeliest Over 2.5 score 1–2
The model
How this number was built
FEN 1.04–1.78 SHK · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseSHK -0.2 off · FEN +0.0 off, shrunk 40%
- Home field+0.3 goals to SHK
- RecordSHK 1-1-2 · FEN 1-2-1
Season leaders
- Archie Browngoals 2
- Archie Browngoalsleaders 2
- Gleiker Mendozagoals 2
- Gleiker Mendozagoalsleaders 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| FEN | SHK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | -5 | 0 |
| Total Goals | 6 | 4 |
| Assists | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 11 | 4 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Fenerbahce vs Shakhtar prediction · Nov 25, 2026
The model projects Fenerbahce 1.0, Shakhtar 1.8. Model win probability: Shakhtar 55%, Fenerbahce 22%, draw 23%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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