Aston Villa at Galatasaray
TV · Paramount+
@Model projects AVL 2.46 – 2.06 GAL · below the strong-play bar (edge -0.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
N. Jackson · AVL
ForwardA. Batrakov · GAL
Midfielder
Projected prop · Alexey Batrakov (GAL) 1.03 goals · 1.00 goals/game this season, × 1.03 for the projected GAL score
At lock: projected AVL 2.46–2.06 GAL · most likely 2–2
The model
How this number was built
AVL 2.46–2.06 GAL · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseGAL +0.2 off · AVL +0.7 off, shrunk 40%
- Home field+0.3 goals to GAL
- RecordGAL 2-0-2 · AVL 3-0-1
Season leaders
- Nicolas Jacksongoals 3
- Nicolas Jacksongoalsleaders 3
- Alexey Batrakovgoals 4
- Alexey Batrakovgoalsleaders 4
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AVL | GAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 6 | -1 |
| Total Goals | 12 | 8 |
| Assists | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 9 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Aston Villa vs Galatasaray prediction · Nov 24, 2026
The model projects Aston Villa 2.5, Galatasaray 2.1. Model win probability: Galatasaray 34%, Aston Villa 47%, draw 19%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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