Champions LeagueTue 2:00 PM CTGiuseppe Sinigaglia

AEK Athens at Como

TV · Paramount+

AEK AthensComo

Tue 2:00 PM CT

Lean · TotalNot a strong play

Over 3.5

-110 at lock53%

Model projects AEK 1.51 – 3.73 COMO · below the strong-play bar (edge +0.8%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet

Players

S. Pilios · AEK
Defender
T. Douvikas · COMO
Forward

Projected prop · Tasos Douvikas (COMO) 1.20 goals · 1.50 goals/game this season, × 0.80 for the projected COMO score

Line not posted yet

AEK Athens

1-0-3

Form WLLWL · 5 PF · 11 PA

1.51

Projected

Como

3-0-1

Form LWWWW · 19 PF · 6 PA

3.73

AEK 15%Draw 12%COMO 73%

At lock: projected AEK 1.51–3.73 COMO · most likely 1–3

DraftKingstap to log

Total

The model

How this number was built

AEK 1.51–3.73 COMO · Low confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Attack / defense
COMO +1.4 off · AEK -0.1 off, shrunk 40%
Home field
+0.3 goals to COMO
Record
COMO 3-0-1 · AEK 1-0-3

Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

Stavros Pilios
goals 2
Stavros Pilios
goalsleaders 2

Tasos Douvikas
goals 6
Tasos Douvikas
goalsleaders 6

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	AEK	COMO
Goal Difference	-6	13
Total Goals	5	19
Assists	4	16
Goals Against	11	6

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

AEK Athens vs Como prediction · Nov 24, 2026

The model projects AEK Athens 1.5, Como 3.7. Model win probability: Como 73%, AEK Athens 15%, draw 12%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

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