FC Porto at Feyenoord Rotterdam
TV · Paramount+


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Model projects FCP 1.81 – 1.43 FEY · below the strong-play bar (edge -4.2%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
G. Veiga · FCP
MidfielderG. Zechiël · FEY
Midfielder
Projected prop · Gabri Veiga (FCP) 0.60 goals · 0.50 goals/game this season, × 1.20 for the projected FCP score


At lock: projected FCP 1.81–1.43 FEY · most likely 1–1 · likeliest Over 2.5 score 2–1
The model
How this number was built
FCP 1.81–1.43 FEY · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseFEY -0.2 off · FCP -0.0 off, shrunk 40%
- Home field+0.3 goals to FEY
- RecordFEY 1-0-3 · FCP 1-0-3
Season leaders
Gabri Veigagoals 2
Gabri Veigagoalsleaders 2
Gjivai Zechiëlgoals 1
Gjivai Zechiëlgoalsleaders 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| FCP | FEY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | -1 | -7 |
| Total Goals | 6 | 4 |
| Assists | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 11 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
FC Porto vs Feyenoord prediction · Nov 24, 2026
The model projects FC Porto 1.8, Feyenoord 1.4. Model win probability: Feyenoord 31%, FC Porto 46%, draw 23%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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