Como at Internazionale
FT · Paramount+
0–2
At lock: projected COMO 1.46–1.89 INT
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1324792609
- Winner: Inter Milan (48%)
- Spread: COMO +0.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 3.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COMO 1.46–1.89 INT · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): INT att +0.48 / def +0.22 · COMO att +0.17 / def +0.21 · model INT 1.9–1.2 COMO
- Home field+0.3 goals to INT
- RecordINT 9-1-1 · COMO 7-2-2
- Market priorBlended 66% toward INT +105 / total 3.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COMO | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| INT | 2 | 0 | 2 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 12'
Goal! Inter Milan 1, Como 0. Francesco Pio Esposito (Inter Milan) left footed shot from very close range to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Djed Spence following a fast break.
- GOAL1H 19'
Goal! Inter Milan 2, Como 0. Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan) right footed shot from the left side of the six yard box to the bottom left corner.
Game leaders
- Nico Paztotalshots 3
- Jacobo RamónPass 82
- Jacobo Ramóndefensiveinterventions 9
- Robert SánchezSV 2
- Marcus Thuramtotalshots 5
- Manuel AkanjiPass 67
- Carlos Augustodefensiveinterventions 13
- Josep MartínezSV 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COMO | INT | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 6 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks | 2 | 4 |
| Saves | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 57 | 43 |
| SHOTS | 5 | 14 |
| ON GOAL | 1 | 4 |
| On Target % | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 595 | 439 |
| Passes | 651 | 499 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 7 | 2 |
| Crosses | 23 | 11 |
| Cross % | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Long Balls | 29 | 47 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 16 | 31 |
| Long Balls % | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Blocked Shots | 1 | 2 |
| Effective Tackles | 5 | 9 |
| Tackles | 14 | 14 |
| Tackle % | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 12 |
| Effective Clearances | 23 | 20 |
| Clearances | 23 | 20 |
At lock COMO 1.46–1.89 INT · 0.2 goals under 3.5 · 55% is the confidence saved at lock
HitProp M. Thuram · INT
M. Thuram Over 3.5 shotsN. Paz · COMO
MidfielderJ. Ramón · COMO
DefenderR. Sánchez · COMO
GoalkeeperM. Akanji · INT
DefenderC. Augusto · INT
Defender
Data-Driven Pick · M. Thuram Over 3.5 shots
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Como vs Inter Milan pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 3.5, with a 55% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: Serie A picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day