NHLFinalTD Garden

Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins

Final · ESPN+

6–2

WildBruins

Final

Shot chart · 8 goals (G)

Minnesota Wild

16-3-4 · W4

82 PF · 50 PA

Final

Boston Bruins

13-7-1 · L3

74 PF · 58 PA

MIN 67%BOS 33%

Model: MIN 3.48–2.37 BOS

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3386555167

Called it

Most typical sim

MIN 4 – BOS 3

Final

MIN 6 – BOS 2

Winner: Wild (68%)
Spread: BOS +1.5 covers (57%)
Total: Under 6.5 (54%)
Score error (both teams)3

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
H. Lindholm shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
K. Kaprizov shots on goal	—	3	3	off 0
Q. Hughes shots on goal	—	2	3	off 1
C. McAvoy shots on goal	—	1	0	off -1

Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: MIN vs BOS

The model

How this number was built

MIN 3.48–2.37 BOS · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. goals +0.65 vs +0.70 · adj. shots -2.6 vs -0.1 · model BOS 3.1–2.9 MIN
Home field
+0.2 goals to BOS
Record
BOS 13-7-1 · MIN 16-3-4
Market prior
Blended 77% toward MIN -130 / total 5.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	P1	P2	P3	T
MIN	1	3	2	6
BOS	0	1	1	2

How the goals went in

GOAL1st 6:541–0
Ryan Hartman Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Blake Coleman (5)
GOAL2nd 0:532–0
Quinn Hughes Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Kirill Kaprizov (19), Brock Faber (1)
GOAL2nd 2:003–0
Blake Coleman Goal (6) Slap Shot, assists: Jonas Brodin (8), Bobby Brink (9)
GOAL2nd 8:453–1
Fraser Minten Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: David Pastrnak (17), Morgan Geekie (10)
GOAL2nd 10:004–1
Ryan Hartman Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Kirill Kaprizov (20), Quinn Hughes (23)
GOAL3rd 4:454–2
David Pastrnak Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Nikita Zadorov (7), Pavel Zacha (10)
GOAL3rd 6:155–2
Danila Yurov Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Yakov Trenin (3), Olli Maatta (5)
GOAL3rd 15:216–2
Danila Yurov Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Blake Coleman (6)

Lean · MoneylineNot a strong playHit

MIN ML

-122 at lock60%

Model projected MIN 3.63 – 2.52 BOS at lock · edge +4.6%; moneylines aren't strong-play markets · informational lean, not a recommended bet

Players

Prop M. Boldy · MIN
3 S · under 3.5
M. Eyssimont · BOS
3 HT
Z. Bogosian · MIN
2 HT
W. Borgen · BOS
1 BS · 2 HT
J. Wallstedt · MIN
2 GA · 32 SA
J. Swayman · BOS
5 GA · 24 SA

Data-Driven Pick · M. Boldy Under 3.5 SOG

Strong play-115Hit

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Wild vs Bruins pick result · Nov 14, 2026

Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day