Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks
Final · ESPN+
4–2Shot chart · 6 goals (G)
Model: NSH 2.84–3.96 ANA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3179553434
- Winner: Ducks (66%)
- Spread: NSH +1.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Over 6.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)3
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Skjei shots on goal | — | 1 | 0 | off -1 |
| J. LaCombe shots on goal | — | 1 | 2 | off 1 |
| M. Granlund shots on goal | — | 2 | 4 | off 2 |
| R. Josi shots on goal | — | 2 | 1 | off -1 |
Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: NSH vs ANA
The model
How this number was built
NSH 2.84–3.96 ANA · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. goals -0.14 vs +0.33 · adj. shots -0.6 vs -2.6 · back-to-back: ANA, NSH · model ANA 3.1–3.2 NSH
- Home field+0.2 goals to ANA
- RecordANA 10-8-1 · NSH 10-4-5
- Market priorBlended 77% toward ANA -135 / total 6.5
Line score
| P1 | P2 | P3 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| ANA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
How the goals went in
GOAL1st 8:080–1Cutter Gauthier Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Mikael Granlund (16)
GOAL1st 8:291–1Jayden Struble Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Shane Wright (2)
- GOAL2nd 16:022–1
Nils Hoglander Goal (4) Between Legs, assists: Jayden Struble (1), Shane Wright (3)
- GOAL3rd 8:053–1
Shane Wright Goal (4) Backhand, assists: Nils Hoglander (5), Roman Josi (19)
- GOAL3rd 12:113–2
Mikael Granlund Goal (6) Slap Shot, assists: Beckett Sennecke (13), Drew Helleson (2)
- GOAL3rd 16:044–2
Steven Stamkos Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Mavrik Bourque (4), Roman Josi (20)
Model projected NSH 2.76 – 3.84 ANA at lock · edge +1.6%; moneylines aren't strong-play markets · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Prop S. Stamkos · NSH
1 S · under 2.5M. Bourque · NSH
ForwardL. Carlsson · ANA
1 BS · 2 HTD. Hunt · NSH
3 BSD. Helleson · ANA
1 BS · 1 HTJ. Annunen · NSH
2 GA · 29 SA
Data-Driven Pick · S. Stamkos Under 2.5 SOG
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Predators vs Ducks pick result · Nov 11, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day