NHLFinalcrypto.com Arena

Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

Final · Disney+

3–0

PredatorsKings

Final

Shot chart · 3 goals (G)

Nashville Predators

9-4-5 · W7

62 PF · 55 PA

Final

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2 · L4

49 PF · 63 PA

NSH 32%LA 68%

At lock: projected NSH 2.51–3.73 LA

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3062257196

Missed · off by 4

Most typical sim

NSH 3 – LA 4

Final

NSH 3 – LA 0

Winner: Kings (70%)
Spread: NSH +1.5 covers (55%)
Total: Under 6.5 (52%)
Score error (both teams)4

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
B. Skjei shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
R. Josi shots on goal	—	2	3	off 1

Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: NSH vs LA

The model

How this number was built

NSH 2.51–3.73 LA · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. goals -0.39 vs +0.33 · adj. shots -0.3 vs -2.5 · back-to-back: LA, NSH · model LA 3.1–2.8 NSH
Home field
+0.2 goals to LA
Record
LA 5-9-2 · NSH 9-4-5
Market prior
Blended 78% toward LA -125 / total 6.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	P1	P2	P3	T
NSH	1	1	1	3
LA	0	0	0	0

How the goals went in

GOAL1st 5:201–0
Filip Forsberg Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Nils Hoglander (3)
GOAL2nd 10:322–0
Filip Forsberg Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Nils Hoglander (4), Brady Skjei (6)
GOAL3rd 17:433–0
Adam Wilsby Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: none

Computer pick · Total

Under 6.5

53%

At lock NSH 2.51–3.73 LA · 0.3 goals under 6.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit

Players

Prop M. Bourque · NSH
5 S · over 2.5
J. Armia · LA
Forward
D. Hunt · NSH
1 BS · 1 HT
M. Anderson · LA
2 BS
J. Saros · NSH
30 SA
A. Forsberg · LA
2 GA · 29 SA

Data-Driven Pick · M. Bourque Under 2.5 SOG

Strong play-115Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Predators vs Kings pick result · Nov 10, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 6.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day