Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators
Final · ESPN+
1–4Shot chart · 5 goals (G)
At lock: projected CAR 3.80–2.45 NSH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3110618577
- Winner: Hurricanes (70%)
- Spread: NSH +1.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Under 6.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)4
| Player | Line | Sim median | Actual | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker shots on goal | — | 2 | 2 | off 0 |
| B. Skjei shots on goal | — | 1 | 0 | off -1 |
| K. Miller shots on goal | — | 1 | 3 | off 2 |
| R. Josi shots on goal | — | 2 | 3 | off 1 |
Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CAR vs NSH
The model
How this number was built
CAR 3.80–2.45 NSH · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. goals +0.33 vs +1.01 · adj. shots -6.0 vs +3.0 · back-to-back: NSH, CAR · model NSH 2.6–3.5 CAR
- Home field+0.2 goals to NSH
- RecordNSH 6-4-5 · CAR 12-3-2
- Market priorBlended 64% toward CAR -198 / total 6.5
Line score
| P1 | P2 | P3 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| NSH | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
How the goals went in
GOAL1st 12:320–1Nick Perbix Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Filip Forsberg (13)
- GOAL2nd 3:290–2
Roman Josi Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Filip Forsberg (14)
GOAL2nd 10:281–2Jackson Blake Goal (4) Backhand, assists: Shayne Gostisbehere (10), Logan Stankoven (6)
- GOAL3rd 5:401–3
Adam Edstrom Goal (6) Tip-In, assists: Roman Josi (15), Ross Colton (3)
- GOAL3rd 19:191–4
Ross Colton Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Brady Skjei (5), Jack Drury (2)
At lock CAR 3.80–2.45 NSH · 0.3 goals under 6.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitProp S. Stamkos · NSH
0 GS. Aho · CAR
ForwardM. Bourque · NSH
1 HTJ. Chatfield · CAR
DefensemanD. Hunt · NSH
1 BS · 1 HTP. Kochetkov · CAR
3 GA · 19 SA
Data-Driven Pick · S. Stamkos anytime goal
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Hurricanes vs Predators pick result · Nov 3, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 6.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day