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Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes

Final · NHL Net

0–7

JetsHurricanes

Final

Shot chart · 7 goals (G)

Winnipeg Jets

4-8-3 · W6

66 PF · 72 PA

Final

Carolina Hurricanes

12-2-2 · W4

87 PF · 47 PA

WPG 29%CAR 71%

At lock: projected WPG 2.41–3.93 CAR

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Oct 31, 11:00 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1064146417

Winner called · off by 5

Most typical sim

WPG 2 – CAR 4

Final

WPG 0 – CAR 7

Winner: Hurricanes (73%)
Spread: WPG +1.5 covers (51%)
Total: Under 6.5 (51%)
Score error (both teams)5

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
D. Samberg shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
S. Walker shots on goal	—	2	5	off 3
K. Miller shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
N. Pionk shots on goal	—	2	4	off 2

Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: WPG vs CAR

The model

How this number was built

WPG 2.41–3.93 CAR · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. goals +1.01 vs -0.20 · adj. shots +1.5 vs -5.5 · back-to-back: CAR, WPG · model CAR 3.9–2.5 WPG
Home field
+0.2 goals to CAR
Record
CAR 12-2-2 · WPG 4-8-3
Market prior
Blended 64% toward CAR -278 / total 6.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	P1	P2	P3	T
WPG	0	0	0	0
CAR	1	4	2	7

How the goals went in

GOAL1st 5:160–1
Sean Walker Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (5), Sebastian Aho (12)
GOAL2nd 1:550–2
Juuso Valimaki Goal (2) Slap Shot, assists: Shayne Gostisbehere (8), Logan Stankoven (4)
GOAL2nd 2:190–3
Sebastian Aho Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (8), Nikolaj Ehlers (9)
GOAL2nd 7:410–4
Sean Walker Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (6)
GOAL2nd 9:090–5
Logan Stankoven Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (13), Nikolaj Ehlers (10)
GOAL3rd 6:530–6
Mark Jankowski Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Logan Stankoven (5)
GOAL3rd 8:380–7
Jesperi Kotkaniemi Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Eric Robinson (5), Shayne Gostisbehere (9)

Computer pick · Total

Under 6.5

54%

At lock WPG 2.41–3.93 CAR · 0.2 goals under 6.5 · 54% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss

Players

Prop S. Aho · CAR
1 G
M. Barron · WPG
1 BS · 2 HT
T. Bauer · WPG
4 HT
J. Chatfield · CAR
Defenseman
C. Stevenson · WPG
2 GA · 15 SA
P. Kochetkov · CAR
26 SA

Data-Driven Pick · S. Aho anytime goal

+165Hit

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Jets vs Hurricanes pick result · Nov 1, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 6.5, with a 54% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day