NHLFinalVeikkaus Arena

Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes

Final · NHL Net

1–5

KrakenHurricanes

Final

Shot chart · 6 goals (G)

Seattle Kraken

9-9-1 · L4

60 PF · 71 PA

Final

Carolina Hurricanes

17-3-2 · W5

92 PF · 48 PA

SEA 27%CAR 73%

At lock: projected SEA 2.36–4.00 CAR

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 185375773

Called it

Most typical sim

SEA 2 – CAR 4

Final

SEA 1 – CAR 5

Winner: Hurricanes (75%)
Spread: CAR -1.5 covers (51%)
Total: Under 6.5 (50%)
Score error (both teams)2

Player	Line	Sim median	Actual	Lean
V. Dunn shots on goal	—	2	1	off -1
B. Montour shots on goal	—	2	3	off 1
K. Miller shots on goal	—	1	1	off 0
J. Slavin shots on goal	—	1	2	off 1

Final from api-web.nhle.com. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: SEA vs CAR

The model

How this number was built

SEA 2.36–4.00 CAR · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Adj. goals +1.01 vs -0.44 · adj. shots +2.8 vs -7.3 · model CAR 4.1–2.2 SEA
Home field
+0.2 goals to CAR
Record
CAR 17-3-2 · SEA 9-9-1
Market prior
Blended 63% toward CAR -380 / total 6.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	P1	P2	P3	T
SEA	0	1	0	1
CAR	2	2	1	5

How the goals went in

GOAL1st 11:120–1
Jackson Blake Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (17), Nikolaj Ehlers (13)
GOAL1st 17:300–2
Mark Jankowski Goal (9) Snap Shot, assists: Jesperi Kotkaniemi (6), Sean Walker (8)
GOAL2nd 2:030–3
Andrei Svechnikov Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (14), Shayne Gostisbehere (12)
GOAL2nd 6:061–3
Matty Beniers Goal (5) Slap Shot, assists: Jordan Eberle (7), Bobby McMann (3)
GOAL2nd 10:051–4
Andrei Svechnikov Goal (11) Slap Shot, assists: Shayne Gostisbehere (13), Nikolaj Ehlers (15)
GOAL3rd 11:061–5
Mark Jankowski Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Taylor Hall (4), Seth Jarvis (7)

Lean · TotalNot a strong playHit

Under 6.5

-122 at lock53%

Model projected SEA 2.36 – 4.00 CAR at lock · edge -2.4%; totals in this league aren't strong-play markets · informational lean, not a recommended bet

Players

Prop L. Stankoven · CAR
3 S · over 2.5
M. Beniers · SEA
1 BS · 4 HT
S. Aho · CAR
2 HT
V. Dunn · SEA
1 BS · 1 TK
J. Chatfield · CAR
2 BS
J. Daccord · SEA
4 GA · 14 SA

Data-Driven Pick · L. Stankoven Under 2.5 SOG

Strong play-120Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Kraken vs Hurricanes pick result · Nov 14, 2026

Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NHL picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day