NCAAFFinalE.J. Whitmire Stadium

Wofford Terriers at Western Carolina Catamounts

Final · ESPN+

10–26

WoffordW Carolina

Final

Wofford Terriers

5-5

Final

Western Carolina Catamounts

5-5

WOF 42%WCU 58%

At lock: projected WOF 25.54–29.00 WCU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:38 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 945274089

Winner called · off by 19

Most typical sim

WOF 27 – WCU 28

Final

WOF 10 – WCU 26

Winner: W Carolina (54%)
Score error (both teams)19

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: WOF vs WCU

The model

How this number was built

WOF 25.54–29.00 WCU · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Opponent-adjusted (SOS) -4.0 vs -2.8 · model WCU 27.9–26.5 WOF
Home field
+3.0 pts to WCU
Record
WCU 5-5 · WOF 5-5
Market prior
Blended 66% toward WCU -4.5 / total 56.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
WOF	0	3	7	0	10
WCU	7	9	3	7	26

How the points were scored

TDQ1 4:180–7
Josh Perry 3 Yd Run (Bryan McCollum Kick)
FGQ2 13:420–10
Bryan McCollum 47 Yd Field Goal
TDQ2 7:100–16
Joshua Balloon 11 Yd Run (Bryan McCollum PAT failed)
FGQ2 0:013–16
Conner Deviney 34 Yd Field Goal
TDQ3 6:4910–16
Terrence Honeywood 26 Yd Run (Conner Deviney Kick)
FGQ3 2:4410–19
Bryan McCollum 33 Yd Field Goal
TDQ4 9:2610–26
Josh Perry 1 Yd Run (Bryan McCollum Kick)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

WOF	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	adjQBR
Kaeden Gilstrap #16	9/18	96	5.3	—
J.T. Fayard #12	4/13	22	1.7	—
Team	13/31	118	3.8	—

Rushing

WOF	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Gerald Modest Jr. #6	17	71	4.2	0	23
Tay Franklin #26	9	52	5.8	0	12
Terrence Honeywood #10	1	26	26.0	1	26
Kaeden Gilstrap #16	16	16	1.0	0	14
Colby Alexander #2	1	4	4.0	0	4
Ivory Aikens #0	1	2	2.0	0	2
Troy Timko #32	1	0	0.0	0	0
J.T. Fayard #12	3	-25	-8.3	0	0
Team	49	146	3.0	1	26

Receiving

WOF	REC	YDS	AVG	LONG
A Anjuan Coleman Jr. #14	5	51	10.2	18
Terrence Honeywood #10	1	18	18.0	18
Gerald Modest Jr. #6	1	12	12.0	12
Walker Kelley #17	1	12	12.0	12
Colby Alexander #2	2	12	6.0	6
Tay Franklin #26	1	9	9.0	9
Ivory Aikens #0	2	4	2.0	3
Team	13	118	9.1	18

Fumbles

WOF	FUM	LOST	REC
Tay Franklin #26	1	1	0
Cameron Robinson #3	1	0	0
Zayd Rogan #27	0	0	1
Nicholas Mathious #95	0	0	1
Team	2	1	2

Defense

WOF	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HUR
Wyatt Ward #44	11	5	0	0	0	0
Logan McCloud #41	8	4	0	0	0	0
Elijah Washington #8	8	2	0	1	0	0
Ky'Ree Murphy #15	5	4	0	1	1	0
Javario Tinch #12	5	3	1	1	0	0
Jacobi Hatter #5	4	3	0	0	0	0
Eli Campbell #0	4	0	0	0	1	0
Marek Marcellus #2	3	2	0	0	0	0
Alijah Williams #9	3	1	0	0.5	0	1
Cole Walker #4	3	1	0	0.5	0	1
Aiden Morris #24	2	1	0	0	1	0
Tyree Myrick #10	2	1	0	0	0	0
Jake Thorner #42	2	1	0	0	0	0
Dh'King Brown #91	2	1	0	0	0	0
Ramon McCollough Jr. #66	2	0	0	0	0	0
Mark Arthur #19	1	1	0	0	0	0
Zayd Rogan #27	1	1	0	0	1	0
Joshua Hodge #49	1	1	0	0	0	0
Trenton Kintigh #48	1	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Johnson #92	1	0	0	0	0	0
Nicholas Mathious #95	1	0	0	0	0	1
Jaxon Earle #16	1	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Shelby #97	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team	72	32	1	4	4	4

Kick returns

WOF	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG
Ivory Aikens #0	3	76	25.3	29
Colby Alexander #2	2	35	17.5	25
Team	5	111	22.2	29

Punt returns

WOF	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG
Gavin Batt #8	1	13	13.0	13
Cameron Robinson #3	1	0	0.0	0
Team	2	13	6.5	13

Kicking

WOF	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Conner Deviney #43	1/1	100.0	34	1/1	4
Team	1/1	100.0	34	1/1	4

Punting

WOF	NO	YDS	AVG	TB	In 20	LONG
Cillian Bonner #36	9	409	45.4	2	2	57
Team	9	409	45.4	2	2	57

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	WOF	WCU
1st Downs	21	19
3rd down efficiency	4-16	4-13
4th down efficiency	1-2	0-0
Total Yards	264	332
Passing	118	237
Comp/Att	13/31	22/35
Yards per pass	3.8	6.8
Rushing	146	95
Rushing Attempts	49	36
Yards per rush	3.0	2.6
Penalties	16-115	10-108
Turnovers	1	2
Fumbles lost	1	2
Interceptions thrown	0	0
Possession	33:52	26:08

Computer pick · Spread

WOF +4.5

51%

At lock WOF 25.54–29.00 WCU · WCU by 3.5 pts vs WOF +4.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss

Players

Kaeden Gilstrap · WOF
9/18 C/ATT · 96 YDS
Lex Thomas · WCU
22/35 C/ATT · 237 YDS
Gerald Modest Jr. · WOF
17 CAR · 71 YDS
Josh Perry · WCU
14 CAR · 35 YDS
Anjuan Coleman Jr. · WOF
5 REC · 51 YDS
AJ Colombo · WCU
4 REC · 46 YDS

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Wofford vs W Carolina pick result · Nov 7, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is WOF +4.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAF picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day