James Madison Dukes at UConn Huskies
Final · CBSSN
22–46
At lock: projected JMU 32.78–26.39 CONN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 12:40 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 865775951
- Winner: James Madison (66%)
- Spread: JMU -4 covers (55% vs 43%, push 2%)
- Total: Over 57.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)31
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: JMU vs CONN
The model
How this number was built
JMU 32.78–26.39 CONN · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCONN -6.1 vs JMU +4.8 · pred margin -6.0
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +3.9 vs +13.1 · model CONN 25.2–36.2 JMU
- Home field+3.0 pts to CONN
- RecordCONN 5-5 · JMU 8-3
- Market priorBlended 66% toward JMU -4.5 / total 56.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 6 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 22 |
| CONN | 10 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 46 |
How the points were scored
- FGQ1 9:210–3
Jack O'Connor 28 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ1 2:246–3
JC Evans 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
- TDQ1 2:096–10
Ky Wilson 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Jack O'Connor Kick)
- TDQ2 2:0213–10
Braeden Wisloski 16 Yd pass from JC Evans (Morgan Suarez Kick)
- TDQ2 1:3013–17
Shamar Porter 67 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Mike Baker Kick)
- FGQ2 0:0013–20
Mike Baker 21 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ3 0:5513–26
Cyncir Bowers 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
- FGQ4 13:1216–26
Morgan Suarez 36 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ4 10:4216–33
JD Willoughby 35 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Mike Baker Kick)
- TDQ4 5:4416–39
Cyncir Bowers 2 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Mike Baker PAT failed)
- TDQ4 3:5322–39
JC Evans 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
- TDQ4 2:3922–46
Cyncir Bowers 17 Yd Run (Mike Baker Kick)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
Passing
| JMU | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 JC Evans #1 | 27/42 | 236 | 5.6 | 1 | 1 | 66.7 |
| Team | 27/42 | 236 | 5.6 | 1 | 1 | -- |
Rushing
| JMU | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JC Evans #1 | 17 | 49 | 2.9 | 2 | 18 |
 Jackson McCarter #21 | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 0 | 12 |
 Seth Cromwell #34 | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 0 | 5 |
| Team | 27 | 95 | 3.5 | 2 | 18 |
Receiving
| JMU | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braeden Wisloski #10 | 7 | 75 | 10.7 | 1 | 20 |
 Cole Keller #0 | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 31 |
 Corey Scott #3 | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 |
Seth Cromwell #34 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 19 |
Jackson McCarter #21 | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 6 |
 Noah Grevious #11 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 |
 Za'Ron Collins #12 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 |
 Jeremiah Harrison #8 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 8 |
 Thatcher Miller #82 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 |
 Michael Scott #17 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 27 | 236 | 8.7 | 1 | 31 |
Fumbles
| JMU | FUM | LOST | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
JC Evans #1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| JMU | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HUR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seth Gathers #31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Nakian Jackson #2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 TJ McGill #16 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Turner Schmidt #98 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 JT Hooten #15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Jakolbi Wilson #91 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 LaRon Dues #11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Danny Royster #17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kevin Roberts #5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 KJ Flowe #14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Amar Thomas #8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Ken Willis #23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Kei'Trone Simpson #9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jayden Mines #2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Gannon Weathersby #3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kells Bush #88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 JT Kouame-Yao #42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 72 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Kick returns
| JMU | NO | YDS | AVG | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Scott #17 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 19 | 0 |
Braeden Wisloski #10 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 19 | 0 |
Jayden Mines #2 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 7 | 0 |
| Team | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | 19 | 0 |
Kicking
| JMU | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Morgan Suarez #5 | 1/1 | 100.0 | 36 | 1/1 | 4 |
| Team | 1/1 | 100.0 | 36 | 1/1 | 4 |
Punting
| JMU | NO | YDS | AVG | TB | In 20 | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patrick Rea #11 | 4 | 170 | 42.5 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Team | 4 | 170 | 42.5 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| JMU | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Downs | 21 | 27 |
| 3rd down efficiency | 7-15 | 7-12 |
| 4th down efficiency | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Total Yards | 331 | 504 |
| Passing | 236 | 274 |
| Comp/Att | 27/42 | 16/20 |
| Yards per pass | 5.6 | 13.7 |
| Rushing | 95 | 230 |
| Rushing Attempts | 27 | 48 |
| Yards per rush | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| Penalties | 13-130 | 7-75 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 28:07 | 31:53 |
Model projected JMU 32.78 – 26.39 CONN at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge +0.5%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
JC Evans · JMU
27/42 C/ATT · 236 YDSKalieb Osborne · CONN
16/20 C/ATT · 274 YDSCyncir Bowers · CONN
25 CAR · 123 YDSBraeden Wisloski · JMU
7 REC · 75 YDSShamar Porter · CONN
4 REC · 135 YDSSeth Gathers · JMU
10 TOT · 4 SOLO
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
James Madison vs UConn pick result · Nov 14, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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