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Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange

Final · ESPN2

Clemson18–13Syracuse
ClemsonSyracuse
Final
Clemson Tigers
6-3 · L1
210 PF · 206 PA
18
Final
Final
Syracuse Orange
4-5 · W1
298 PF · 260 PA
13
CLEM 55%SYR 45%

At lock: projected CLEM 26.05–23.88 SYR

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3312055046

Winner called · off by 19
Most typical sim
CLEM 26 – SYR 24
Final
CLEM 18 – SYR 13
  • Winner: Clemson (55%)
  • Spread: CLEM -2.5 covers (53%)
  • Total: Over 49.5 (53%)
  • Score error (both teams)19

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: CLEM vs SYR

The model

How this number was built

CLEM 26.05–23.88 SYR · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    SYR +2.1 vs CLEM +7.2 · pred margin -1.9
  • Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
    Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +0.2 vs +4.7 · model SYR 22.5–26.2 CLEM
  • Home field
    +3.0 pts to SYR
  • Record
    SYR 4-5 · CLEM 6-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 66% toward CLEM -1.5 / total 50.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CLEM639018
SYR330713

How the points were scored

  • FGQ1 12:303–0

    Nolan Hauser 32 Yd Field Goal

  • FGQ1 6:153–3

    Tripp Woody 26 Yd Field Goal

  • FGQ1 4:516–3

    Nolan Hauser 36 Yd Field Goal

  • FGQ2 6:076–6

    Tripp Woody 46 Yd Field Goal

  • FGQ2 2:069–6

    Nolan Hauser 37 Yd Field Goal

  • FGQ3 7:2512–6

    Nolan Hauser 54 Yd Field Goal

  • TDQ3 6:3918–6

    Jahiem Lawson 22 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

  • TDQ4 3:1218–13

    Daunte Bacheyie 33 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

CLEMC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTQBR
Tait Reynolds
#2
17/281615.80160.1
Bryant Wesco Jr.
#12
1/13636.000--
Team18/291976.801--

Rushing

CLEMCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Jarvis Green
#21
9859.4053
Tait Reynolds
#2
15614.1020
Chris Johnson Jr.
#16
382.706
Bryant Wesco Jr.
#12
144.004
Juju Preston
#10
144.004
Jay Haynes
#26
231.502
Team
3-3-1.000
Team341624.8053

Receiving

CLEMRECYDSAVGTDLONG
Bryant Wesco Jr.
#12
610016.7053
T.J. Moore
#1
46315.8036
Juju Preston
#10
3217.008
Jarvis Green
#21
166.006
Olsen Patt-Henry
#11
351.705
Clark Sanderson
#20
122.002
Team1819710.9053

Fumbles

CLEMFUMLOSTREC
Bryant Wesco Jr.
#12
110
Jahiem Lawson
#15
001
Team111

Defense

CLEMTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
Ashton Hampton
#2
8800200
Sammy Brown
#47
8200010
Jeremiah Alexander
#7
7300000
Corey Myrick
#22
6400000
Ronan Hanafin
#5
5200000
Jerome Carter III
#6
4300100
Amare Adams
#95
3211000
Will Heldt
#13
3200.5110
Kourtney Kelly
#44
3111000
Donovan Starr
#0
2200210
Elliot Washington II
#3
2101.5100
Darien Mayo
#49
2100110
London Merritt
#14
2100000
Fletcher Cothran
#50
2000.5000
Jahiem Lawson
#15
1111011
Nolan Hauser
#81
1100000
Michael Foster
#32
1100000
Andy Burburija
#56
1100010
Caden Story
#33
1000000
Branden Strozier
#1
1000000
Devarrick Woods
#92
1000.5000
C.J. Kubah-Taylor
#26
0000100
Team643636961

Interceptions

CLEMINTYDSTD
Ashton Hampton
#2
100
Team100

Kick returns

CLEMNOYDSAVGLONGTD
Chris Johnson Jr.
#16
11818.0180
Team11818.0180

Punt returns

CLEMNOYDSAVGLONGTD
Bryant Wesco Jr.
#12
199.090
Team199.090

Kicking

CLEMFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Nolan Hauser
#81
4/580.0540/012
Team4/580.0540/012

Punting

CLEMNOYDSAVGTBIn 20LONG
Nolan Hauser
#81
210954.50057
Jack Smith
#89
26633.01141
Team417543.81157

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

CLEMSYR
1st Downs1620
3rd down efficiency4-166-17
4th down efficiency1-11-1
Total Yards359380
Passing197263
Comp/Att18/2918/40
Yards per pass6.86.6
Rushing162117
Rushing Attempts3433
Yards per rush4.83.5
Penalties6-495-51
Turnovers22
Fumbles lost11
Interceptions thrown11
Possession32:2927:31
Computer pick · Total
Over 49.5
51%

At lock CLEM 26.05–23.88 SYR · 0.4 pts over 49.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players

  • Tait Reynolds · CLEM

    17/28 C/ATT · 161 YDS

  • Steve Angeli · SYR

    18/40 C/ATT · 263 YDS

  • Jarvis Green · CLEM

    9 CAR · 85 YDS

  • Ahmad Miller · SYR

    20 CAR · 101 YDS

  • Bryant Wesco Jr. · CLEM

    6 REC · 100 YDS

  • Justus Ross-Simmons · SYR

    4 REC · 84 YDS

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Clemson vs Syracuse pick result · Nov 7, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Over 49.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAF picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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