Boston College Eagles at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
TV · ACC Network
BC 21.90–27.78 GT
Projected BC 21.90–27.78 GT
Model vs market
Gap: +1.2 margin, +0.6 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: BC vs GT
The model
How this number was built
BC 21.90–27.78 GT · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexGT +0.3 vs BC -2.6 · pred margin +5.9
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +2.1 vs -1.1 · model GT 29.8–21.5 BC
- Home field+3.0 pts to GT
- RecordGT 2-4 · BC 3-3
- Market priorBlended 68% toward GT -5.5 / total 49.5
Season leaders
Mason McKenziePass 98/168, 1262 YDS, 7 TD, 7 INT- Mason McKenzieRush 103 CAR, 444 YDS, 3 TD
Javarius GreenRec 23 REC, 229 YDS, 1 TD
Alberto MendozaPass 136/191, 1528 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT
Justice HaynesRush 87 CAR, 462 YDS, 3 TD
Jordan AllenRec 38 REC, 432 YDS, 1 TD
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BC | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 20.3 | 26.7 |
| Total Yards | 355.0 | 381.8 |
| Yards Passing | 210.3 | 254.7 |
| Yards Rushing | 144.7 | 127.2 |
| Points Allowed Per Game | 23.0 | 27.2 |
| Yards Allowed | 328.8 | 392.2 |
| Pass Yards Allowed | 169.3 | 213.2 |
| Rush Yards Allowed | 159.5 | 179.0 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Boston College vs Georgia Tech prediction · Oct 24, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is GT -5.5, with a 51% model probability. The model projects Boston College 21.9, Georgia Tech 27.8. Model win probability: Georgia Tech 64%, Boston College 36%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAF picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day