#20 South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks
Final · SEC Network
6–34
At lock: projected SC 29.91–21.78 ARK
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 13, 9:00 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 966516963
- Winner: South Carolina (69%)
- Spread: SC -7.5 covers (50%)
- Total: Over 51.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)36
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: SC vs ARK
The model
How this number was built
SC 29.91–21.78 ARK · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexARK +1.6 vs SC +14.1 · pred margin -7.5
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Opponent-adjusted (SOS) -0.6 vs +7.3 · model ARK 22.0–31.2 SC
- Home field+3.0 pts to ARK
- RecordARK 4-6 · SC 6-4
- Market priorBlended 66% toward SC -6.5 / total 51.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| ARK | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
How the points were scored
- FGQ2 12:310–3
Max Gilbert 31 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ2 4:100–10
Chris Marshall 23 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Max Gilbert Kick)
- TDQ2 1:120–17
Antonio Jordan 28 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Max Gilbert Kick)
- TDQ3 7:156–17
Jabree Coleman 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
- TDQ3 4:226–24
Joker Johnson 63 Yd Interception Return (Max Gilbert Kick)
- FGQ4 7:176–27
Max Gilbert 30 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ4 1:506–34
Sutton Smith 7 Yd Run (Max Gilbert Kick)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
Passing
| SC | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cutter Woods #12 | 24/43 | 271 | 6.3 | 0 | 3 | 20.0 |
| Team | 24/43 | 271 | 6.3 | 0 | 3 | -- |
Rushing
| SC | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jabree Coleman #21 | 16 | 77 | 4.8 | 1 | 13 |
 Christian Clark #10 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 | 12 |
 Isaiah Augustave #4 | 7 | 11 | 1.6 | 0 | 5 |
 Jawarn Howell #22 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 |
Cutter Woods #12 | 3 | -12 | -4.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 30 | 98 | 3.3 | 1 | 13 |
Receiving
| SC | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mazeo Bennett Jr. #3 | 4 | 61 | 15.3 | 0 | 51 |
Jabree Coleman #21 | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 28 |
 Donovan Murph #6 | 2 | 40 | 20.0 | 0 | 28 |
 Maurice Brown II #44 | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 0 | 38 |
 Sequel Patterson #23 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 19 |
 Brady Hunt #87 | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 8 |
 DJ Black #83 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 17 |
 Charly Mullaly #84 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 |
| Team | 24 | 271 | 11.3 | 0 | 51 |
Fumbles
| SC | FUM | LOST | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
Jabree Coleman #21 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Brady Hunt #87 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Isaiah Augustave #4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Defense
| SC | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HUR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fred Johnson #0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Peyton Williams #31 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 David Bucey #9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Gerald Kilgore #1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Justin Okoronkwo #17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Shawn Murphy #7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Vicari Swain #4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Dylan Stewart #6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kelby Collins #97 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Judge Collier #8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Harris #90 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Julian Walker #55 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy #99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Tomiwa Durojaiye #13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Emmanuel Kojo Poku #69 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jabree Coleman #21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kendall Daniels Jr. #5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Noah Clark #65 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Anthony Addison #40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Caleb Herring #39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Troy Pikes #33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 77 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Kick returns
| SC | NO | YDS | AVG | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jaquel Holman #18 | 4 | 107 | 26.8 | 33 | 0 |
| Team | 4 | 107 | 26.8 | 33 | 0 |
Punt returns
| SC | NO | YDS | AVG | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vicari Swain #4 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 14 | 0 |
| Team | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 14 | 0 |
Kicking
| SC | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malik Orsan #32 | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
| Team | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Punting
| SC | NO | YDS | AVG | TB | In 20 | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mason Love #24 | 3 | 136 | 45.3 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| Team | 3 | 136 | 45.3 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SC | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Downs | 19 | 21 |
| 3rd down efficiency | 8-17 | 5-15 |
| 4th down efficiency | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Total Yards | 369 | 355 |
| Passing | 271 | 188 |
| Comp/Att | 24/43 | 15/24 |
| Yards per pass | 6.3 | 7.8 |
| Rushing | 98 | 167 |
| Rushing Attempts | 30 | 46 |
| Yards per rush | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| Penalties | 12-91 | 7-65 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 27:14 | 32:46 |
Model projected SC 29.91 – 21.78 ARK at lock · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.4%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
Cutter Woods · SC
24/43 C/ATT · 271 YDSKJ Jackson · ARK
15/24 C/ATT · 188 YDSJabree Coleman · SC
16 CAR · 77 YDSCam Settles · ARK
17 CAR · 64 YDSMazeo Bennett Jr. · SC
4 REC · 61 YDSChris Marshall · ARK
4 REC · 63 YDS
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
South Carolina vs Arkansas pick result · Nov 14, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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