Texas Southern Tigers at Murray State Racers
Final · ESPN+
78–99Last shot · Ben Vungo makes layup
At lock: projected TXSO 69.42–92.98 MUR
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1723067197
- Winner: Murray St (98%)
- Spread: TXSO +27.5 covers (63%)
- Total: Under 162.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)15
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
TXSO 69.42–92.98 MUR · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMUR +7.2 off · TXSO +0.7 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MUR
- RecordMUR 4-0 · TXSO 1-3
- Market priorBlended 83% toward MUR -28.5 / total 162.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| MUR | 50 | 49 | 99 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3170–93
Brigham Rogers makes layup
- FT2nd Half 3:5470–94
Roman Domon makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:5470–95
Roman Domon makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:1871–95
Jason Kimbrough makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0371–96
Pavle Nikolic makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0371–97
Pavle Nikolic makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3572–97
Trey Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1174–97
Jason Kimbrough makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0174–99
Shon Tupuola makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3675–99
Trey Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3676–99
Trey Lewis makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0478–99
Ben Vungo makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| TXSO | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Akpovwa F · #35 | 12 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 J. Kimbrough G · #1 | 38 | 9 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 B. Vungo G · #5 | 35 | 16 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
 K. Bilal G · #3 | 38 | 30 | 12-23 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 C. Patterson G · #11 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 X. Wedlow F · #9 | 16 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
T T. Lewis G · #12 | 10 | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
S S. Sayed G · #2 | 19 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
A A. Nedal G · #9 | 12 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
 K. Farooq G · #32 | 16 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
A A. Andrews F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Farmer F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. Gorecki C · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. Walton G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Hamilton G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 78 | 29-68 | 6-19 | 14-22 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 28 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| TXSO | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-68 | 30-73 |
| FG% | 43 | 41 |
| 3PT | 6-19 | 12-31 |
| 3P% | 32 | 39 |
| FT | 14-22 | 27-35 |
| FT% | 64 | 77 |
| REB | 34 | 58 |
| OR | 8 | 22 |
| DR | 26 | 36 |
| AST | 11 | 18 |
| STL | 10 | 9 |
| BLK | 7 | 4 |
| TO | 11 | 16 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 11 | 16 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| TECH | 0 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 22 | 5 |
| FBPs | 15 | 18 |
| PIP | 40 | 36 |
| PF | 28 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 27 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 8 | 84 |
At lock TXSO 69.42–92.98 MUR · MUR by 23.6 pts vs TXSO +27.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Akpovwa · TXSO
12 MIN · 2 PTSB. Rogers · MUR
26 MIN · 16 PTSKarris Bilal · TXSO
STAT · 38 MIN · 30 PTS · 12-23 FG · 4-9 3PTBrayden Shorter · MUR
STAT · 26 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-13 FG · 7-12 3PTBen Vungo · TXSO
STAT · 35 MIN · 16 PTS · 8-12 FG · 0-1 FTRoman Domon · MUR
STAT · 31 MIN · 14 PTS · 2-16 FG · 1-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Texas Southern vs Murray St pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is TXSO +27.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day