Milwaukee Panthers at USC Trojans
Final · B1G+
63–95Last shot · Isaac Bruns misses layup
At lock: projected MILW 66.20–89.46 USC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3206127508
- Winner: USC (98%)
- Spread: MILW +26.5 covers (61%)
- Total: Under 157.5 (60%)
- Score error (both teams)8
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MILW 66.20–89.46 USC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUSC +0.0 off · MILW +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to USC
- Market priorBlended 86% toward USC -26.5 / total 160.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| USC | 46 | 49 | 95 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:0753–84
Amare Hereford makes free throw 2 of 3
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:5053–87
Adonis Ratliff makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rodney Rice assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4653–89
Adonis Ratliff makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Rodney Rice assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:2554–89
Tre Norman makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4656–89
Tre Norman makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1256–92
Alijah Arenas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Isaac Bruns assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5858–92
Al Amadou makes 7-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3060–92
Tre Norman makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:5661–92
Dylan Omweno makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4061–93
Isaac Bruns makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2761–95
Jadis Jones makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1763–95
Tre Norman makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MILW | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N. Malosa F · #35 | 24 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
 C. Jackson F · #11 | 18 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Jovanovich F · #3 | 31 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 I. Dorceus G · #2 | 16 | 10 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 T. Norman G · #5 | 25 | 13 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Akoro F · #8 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 Al Amadou F · #21 | 15 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 D. Omweno G · #7 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Hereford G · #1 | 26 | 14 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Hansen G · #4 | 13 | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 A. Womack III G · #24 | 11 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Lovelace Jr. G · #22 | 16 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 S. Murchison F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 SJ Young G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Walker G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Villarreal G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 23-62 | 6-23 | 11-15 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MILW | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-62 | 33-58 |
| FG% | 37 | 57 |
| 3PT | 6-23 | 12-22 |
| 3P% | 26 | 55 |
| FT | 11-15 | 17-24 |
| FT% | 73 | 71 |
| REB | 31 | 37 |
| OR | 12 | 7 |
| DR | 19 | 30 |
| AST | 10 | 25 |
| STL | 8 | 12 |
| BLK | 1 | 7 |
| TO | 17 | 14 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 17 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 13 | 19 |
| FBPs | 5 | 16 |
| PIP | 30 | 40 |
| PF | 17 | 12 |
| LL | 0 | 36 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock MILW 66.20–89.46 USC · USC by 23.3 pts vs MILW +26.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissN. Malosa · MILW
24 MIN · 4 PTSA. Ratliff · USC
24 MIN · 25 PTSAlijah Arenas · USC
STAT · 29 MIN · 21 PTS · 9-14 FG · 1-3 3PTRodney Rice · USC
STAT · 32 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-10 FG · 3-6 3PTAmare Hereford · MILW
STAT · 26 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-12 FG · 1-3 3PTDarius Ratliff · USC
STAT · 28 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Milwaukee vs USC pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MILW +26.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day