Weber State Wildcats at Oregon State Beavers
Final
61–102Last shot · Maximillian Russell misses 26-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected WEB 70.50–86.02 ORST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4273485800
- Winner: Oregon St (92%)
- Spread: WEB +17.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Under 158.5 (62%)
- Score error (both teams)26
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WEB 70.50–86.02 ORST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseORST +0.0 off · WEB +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ORST
- Market priorBlended 86% toward ORST -18.5 / total 161.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WEB | 35 | 26 | 61 |
| ORST | 43 | 59 | 102 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 4:2956–90
Jackson Rasmussen makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:5958–90
Augustine Ekwe makes 0-foot dunk (ArDarius Grayson assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3958–92
Yabi Aklog makes layup (Josiah Lake II assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5558–94
Jackson Rasmussen makes 8-foot hook shot
- FT2nd Half 2:4059–94
Declan Cutler makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3459–95
Jemai Lake makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:3459–96
Jemai Lake makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0760–96
Hunter Hansen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0761–96
Hunter Hansen makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4461–97
Kahu Treacher makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1061–99
Sean Blakely Drummond makes layup (Yabi Aklog assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3361–102
Jemai Lake makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sean Blakely Drummond assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WEB | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. Thompson F · #21 | 20 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
 D. Warlick F · #23 | 31 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
 A. Ekwe C · #44 | 28 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
 G. Lowe G · #13 | 24 | 15 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
 M. Abittan G · #8 | 10 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
 C. Burgess F · #4 | 17 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
 B. Felder F · #33 | 14 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Cutler C · #15 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Russell G · #32 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 H. Hansen G · #10 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Jones G · #11 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Grayson G · #0 | 26 | 12 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
 A. Powell G · #5 | 16 | 8 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Jackson III G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 61 | 24-80 | 6-35 | 7-12 | 40 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 24 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WEB | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-80 | 32-65 |
| FG% | 30 | 49 |
| 3PT | 6-35 | 9-24 |
| 3P% | 17 | 38 |
| FT | 7-12 | 29-34 |
| FT% | 58 | 85 |
| REB | 40 | 54 |
| OR | 16 | 11 |
| DR | 24 | 43 |
| AST | 10 | 17 |
| STL | 9 | 6 |
| BLK | 1 | 6 |
| TO | 9 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 13 |
| FBPs | 6 | 17 |
| PIP | 24 | 40 |
| PF | 24 | 15 |
| LL | 1 | 41 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 2 | 93 |
At lock WEB 70.50–86.02 ORST · ORST by 15.5 pts vs WEB +17.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissD. Thompson · WEB
20 MIN · 0-5 FGD. Gory · ORST
25 MIN · 17 PTSDaniel Freitag · ORST
STAT · 26 MIN · 23 PTS · 5-10 FG · 1-2 3PTGavin Lowe · WEB
STAT · 24 MIN · 15 PTS · 7-14 FG · 1-5 3PTChris Johnson · ORST
STAT · 19 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-10 FG · 2-5 3PTArDarius Grayson · WEB
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-16 FG · 2-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Weber St vs Oregon St pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WEB +17.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day