South Carolina State Bulldogs at Charleston Cougars
TV · FloSports
@Model projects SCST 73.48 – 88.65 COFC · below the strong-play bar (edge +2.6%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
N. Treadwell · SCST
GuardC. Parker · SCST
ForwardD. Jackson Jr. · SCST
Point guardT. Johnson · COFC
GuardB. Pierce · COFC
Center
Projected prop · Tavari Johnson (COFC) 16.08 pts · 18.67 pts/game this season, × 0.86 for the projected COFC score
At lock: projected SCST 73.48–88.65 COFC
The model
How this number was built
SCST 73.48–88.65 COFC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseCOFC +10.2 off · SCST +2.9 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to COFC
- RecordCOFC 3-0 · SCST 3-1
- Market priorBlended 83% toward COFC -17.5 / total 161.5
Season leaders
Noah TreadwellPTS 12.2
Chris ParkerREB 6.2
DeShaun Jackson Jr.AST 4.5
Tavari JohnsonPTS 18.7
Braden PierceREB 4.7- Tavari JohnsonAST 4.0
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SCST | COFC | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | L1 | W3 |
| OPP PPG | 72.8 | 67.3 |
| PTS | 78.3 | 104.7 |
| FG% | 40 | 57 |
| 3P% | 32 | 33 |
| REB | 36.8 | 42.3 |
| AST | 14.8 | 21.7 |
| BLK | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| STL | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| TTO | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| ToTO | 12.5 | 11.7 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SC State vs Charleston prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects SC State 73.5, Charleston 88.7. Model win probability: Charleston 91%, SC State 9%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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