Norfolk State Spartans at William & Mary Tribe
Final · FloSports
73–104Last shot · Jordan Skyers misses 24-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NORF 75.09–83.45 W&M
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2169810611
- Winner: William & Mary (56%)
- Score error (both teams)32
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NORF 75.09–83.45 W&M · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseW&M +11.4 off · NORF +7.2 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to W&M
- RecordW&M 2-0 · NORF 2-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward W&M -10.5 / total 158.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 35 | 38 | 73 |
| W&M | 54 | 50 | 104 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:0767–90
Chris Walker makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dramane Camara assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:5567–93
Will Feagles makes 24-foot three point jumper (John Roland Jr. assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3167–96
Jayden Forsythe makes 24-foot three point jumper (John Roland Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:1567–97
Ethan Connery makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:1567–98
Ethan Connery makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0369–98
Jordan Skyers makes 11-foot jumper (Justin Jones assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1469–100
Nilavan Daniels makes layup (Nick Byrd assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0270–100
J.C. Riley Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0271–100
J.C. Riley Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:3073–100
Jordan Skyers makes layup (Ahmad Torrence assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:2373–102
Chris Richards makes layup (Nick Byrd assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3473–104
John Roland Jr. makes layup (Chris Richards assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NORF | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J.C. Riley Jr. F · #21 | 25 | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
 J. Jones G · #33 | 20 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. Laster G · #9 | 31 | 11 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 J. Skyers G · #23 | 19 | 9 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
 C. Walker G · #6 | 25 | 9 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Gupton F · #5 | 16 | 6 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Jordan C · #15 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 K. Mitchell G · #3 | 26 | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 A. Torrence G · #13 | 18 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Camara G · #35 | 14 | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 M. Mitchell F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Gardner F · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Newton G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 73 | 22-61 | 8-24 | 21-29 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NORF | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-61 | 35-63 |
| FG% | 36 | 56 |
| 3PT | 8-24 | 15-34 |
| 3P% | 33 | 44 |
| FT | 21-29 | 19-27 |
| FT% | 72 | 70 |
| REB | 29 | 46 |
| OR | 10 | 15 |
| DR | 19 | 31 |
| AST | 16 | 27 |
| STL | 8 | 4 |
| BLK | 1 | 3 |
| TO | 8 | 12 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 8 | 12 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 9 |
| FBPs | 12 | 4 |
| PIP | 24 | 40 |
| PF | 19 | 16 |
| LL | 0 | 31 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock NORF 75.09–83.45 W&M · W&M by 8.4 pts vs NORF +9.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissJ.C. Riley Jr. · NORF
25 MIN · 12 PTSJ. Roland Jr. · W&M
20 MIN · 9 PTSStas Sivka · W&M
STAT · 19 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-9 FG · 3-5 3PTWill Feagles · W&M
STAT · 16 MIN · 14 PTS · 4-9 FG · 4-8 3PTGavin Ward · W&M
STAT · 21 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-9 FG · 2-6 3PTBahsil Laster · NORF
STAT · 31 MIN · 11 PTS · 0-7 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Norfolk St vs William & Mary pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NORF +9.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day