Washington State Cougars at Duquesne Dukes
Final · ESPN+
71–72Last shot · Lazerek Houston misses 14-foot jumper
At lock: projected WSU 72.29–76.57 DUQ
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 9, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1664203148
- Winner: Duquesne (65%)
- Spread: DUQ -4.5 covers (50%)
- Total: Over 148.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WSU 72.29–76.57 DUQ · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseDUQ +8.3 off · WSU +10.1 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to DUQ
- RecordDUQ 3-0 · WSU 0-3
- Market priorBlended 70% toward DUQ -3.5 / total 145.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 39 | 32 | 71 |
| DUQ | 30 | 42 | 72 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2264–60
Yoav Berman makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 5:2264–61
Yoav Berman makes free throw 1 of 1
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:5866–61
Casey Jones makes layup (Jaylen Harrell assists)
- FT2nd Half 4:0866–62
Stephen Olowoniyi makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0866–63
Stephen Olowoniyi makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3966–65
Arness Lawson makes layup (Jake DiMichele assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:1366–67
Arness Lawson makes 1-foot dunk (Kerem Konan assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4869–67
Lazerek Houston makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Harrell assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1369–69
Arness Lawson makes layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3271–69
Sebastian Akins makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1271–71
Kerem Konan makes driving layup (Yoav Berman assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:1271–72
Kerem Konan makes free throw 1 of 1
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 R. Harrison F · #0 | 22 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
 L. Dembele F · #21 | 18 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
L L. Houston G · #7 | 29 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Akins G · #10 | 22 | 9 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Harrell G · #3 | 28 | 19 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
M M. Sankhe F · #93 | 13 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 D. Robinson F · #24 | 9 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
 T. Kropp F · #2 | 15 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 RJ Jones G · #8 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Jones G · #31 | 13 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Phillips G · #33 | 25 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
R R. Stathis F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 F. Roxburgh F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
B B. Kyman F · #34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
P P. Sancho Moraga G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Blakely G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 71 | 25-55 | 11-25 | 10-13 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WSU | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-55 | 24-47 |
| FG% | 45 | 51 |
| 3PT | 11-25 | 4-15 |
| 3P% | 44 | 27 |
| FT | 10-13 | 20-29 |
| FT% | 77 | 69 |
| REB | 28 | 29 |
| OR | 13 | 12 |
| DR | 15 | 17 |
| AST | 19 | 17 |
| STL | 9 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 2 |
| TO | 14 | 14 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 14 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 14 |
| FBPs | 2 | 12 |
| PIP | 20 | 40 |
| PF | 22 | 14 |
| LL | 11 | 1 |
| LC | 5 | 5 |
| LPCT | 87 | 3 |
At lock WSU 72.29–76.57 DUQ · DUQ by 4.3 pts vs WSU +4.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
HitR. Harrison · WSU
22 MIN · 6 PTSK. Konan · DUQ
37 MIN · 13 PTSJaylen Harrell · WSU
STAT · 28 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-10 FG · 3-5 3PTJosh Smith · DUQ
STAT · 17 MIN · 13 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-4 3PTLazerek Houston · WSU
STAT · 29 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-2 3PTArness Lawson · DUQ
STAT · 29 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-8 FG · 2-3 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Washington St vs Duquesne pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WSU +4.5, with a 50% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day