Davidson Wildcats at Washington State Cougars
Final
76–61Last shot · Jamari Phillips misses 28-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected DAV 72.65–75.40 WSU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3946106427
- Winner: Washington St (59%)
- Spread: WSU -2.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 149.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)18
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DAV 72.65–75.40 WSU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWSU +0.0 off · DAV +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WSU
- Market priorBlended 72% toward WSU -3.5 / total 149.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAV | 34 | 42 | 76 |
| WSU | 22 | 39 | 61 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4865–51
Jamari Phillips makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sebastian Akins assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:0665–53
Sebastian Akins makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0165–55
Casey Jones makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4267–55
Nick Janowski makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2767–57
Dominik Robinson makes layup (RJ Jones assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:1368–57
Nick Janowski makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:1369–57
Nick Janowski makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:3671–57
Ian Platteeuw makes 4-foot dunk (Josh Scovens assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0074–57
Sam Brown makes 26-foot three point jumper (Nick Janowski assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:4274–59
Jaylen Harrell makes 5-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3976–59
Sam Brown makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2476–61
Dominik Robinson makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| DAV | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. Scovens F · #4 | 33 | 17 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
 J. Keith F · #5 | 21 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
 I. Platteeuw C · #16 | 34 | 10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
 S. Brown G · #11 | 33 | 22 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 N. Janowski G · #25 | 34 | 21 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
T T. Stoiber F · #28 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 J. Nowland F · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Roberts F · #24 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
E E. Heinonen G · #2 | 11 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 N. Coval G · #3 | 14 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Carter Jr. G · #15 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Q Q. Bashiru F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
H H. Withers Carello G · #53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. Davis G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Kavu G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 76 | 29-53 | 12-23 | 6-12 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 12 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DAV | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 29-53 | 24-68 |
| FG% | 55 | 35 |
| 3PT | 12-23 | 5-24 |
| 3P% | 52 | 21 |
| FT | 6-12 | 8-11 |
| FT% | 50 | 73 |
| REB | 38 | 36 |
| OR | 7 | 15 |
| DR | 31 | 21 |
| AST | 18 | 11 |
| STL | 7 | 7 |
| BLK | 3 | 1 |
| TO | 14 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 14 | 9 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 19 |
| FBPs | 5 | 9 |
| PIP | 24 | 32 |
| PF | 12 | 16 |
| LL | 19 | 0 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 98 | 0 |
At lock DAV 72.65–75.40 WSU · 1.4 pts under 149.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitJ. Scovens · DAV
33 MIN · 17 PTST. Kropp · WSU
17 MIN · 0-5 FGSam Brown · DAV
STAT · 33 MIN · 22 PTS · 8-13 FG · 6-10 3PTNick Janowski · DAV
STAT · 34 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-10 FG · 3-5 3PTJaylen Harrell · WSU
STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 5-8 FG · 1-3 3PTJamari Phillips · WSU
STAT · 26 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-12 FG · 2-9 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Davidson vs Washington St pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 149.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day