Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Oregon State Beavers
Final · YouTube
65–81Last shot · Matt Anglo makes driving layup
At lock: projected MVSU 62.45–91.05 ORST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1799262743
- Winner: Oregon St (99%)
- Spread: MVSU +33.5 covers (67%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MVSU 62.45–91.05 ORST · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseORST +8.2 off · MVSU -3.9 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ORST
- RecordORST 4-0 · MVSU 0-4
- Market priorBlended 83% toward ORST -34.5 / total 157.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| ORST | 45 | 36 | 81 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 3:4352–76
Daniel Freitag makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT2nd Half 3:4352–77
Daniel Freitag makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT2nd Half 3:4352–78
Daniel Freitag makes free throw 3 of 3
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2654–78
AJ Abrams makes 9-foot floating jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4457–78
Tory James Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper (Matt Anglo assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:2259–78
Matt Anglo makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 2:2260–78
Matt Anglo makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:2262–78
Matt Anglo makes 7-foot floating jump shot
- FT2nd Half 1:1262–79
Kahu Treacher makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5563–79
Tymias Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:3463–81
Kahu Treacher makes layup (Yabi Aklog assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1865–81
Matt Anglo makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G G. Martinez PF · #21 | 22 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
T T. Williams F · #7 | 30 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
E E. Pippins PG · #1 | 18 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
C C. Cameron G · #8 | 23 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
T T. James Jr. G · #20 | 34 | 12 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 C. Sutton F · #5 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
T T. Wu C · #9 | 15 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
M M. Anglo G · #5 | 25 | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
A AJ Abrams G · #2 | 31 | 15 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Q Q. Pang PF · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. McCoy F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
H H. Wilson Jr. F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Foster G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 65 | 23-58 | 5-21 | 14-20 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MVSU | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-58 | 27-56 |
| FG% | 40 | 48 |
| 3PT | 5-21 | 11-28 |
| 3P% | 24 | 39 |
| FT | 14-20 | 16-20 |
| FT% | 70 | 80 |
| REB | 32 | 36 |
| OR | 8 | 7 |
| DR | 24 | 29 |
| AST | 8 | 19 |
| STL | 11 | 7 |
| BLK | 2 | 6 |
| TO | 16 | 17 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 16 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 20 | 21 |
| FBPs | 19 | 12 |
| PIP | 30 | 30 |
| PF | 18 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 26 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 6 | 93 |
At lock MVSU 62.45–91.05 ORST · ORST by 28.6 pts vs MVSU +33.5 · 58% is the confidence saved at lock
HitG. Martinez · MVSU
22 MIN · 5 PTSD. Gory · ORST
28 MIN · 12 PTSLegend Smiley · ORST
STAT · 24 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-12 FG · 4-9 3PTDaniel Freitag · ORST
STAT · 24 MIN · 17 PTS · 3-5 FG · 3-4 3PTMatt Anglo · MVSU
STAT · 25 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-10 FG · 6-7 FTAJ Abrams · MVSU
STAT · 31 MIN · 15 PTS · 7-13 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Miss Valley St vs Oregon St pick result · Nov 13, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MVSU +33.5, with a 58% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day