Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils at Oregon Ducks
Final · B1G+
66–100Last shot · Matt Anglo misses 14-foot pullup jump shot
At lock: projected MVSU 59.44–89.92 ORE
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 11, 3:08 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1782485124
- Winner: Oregon (100%)
- Spread: MVSU +35.5 covers (66%)
- Total: Under 149.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)17
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MVSU 59.44–89.92 ORE · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseORE +5.1 off · MVSU +3.2 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to ORE
- RecordORE 3-0 · MVSU 0-3
- Market priorBlended 84% toward ORE -33.5 / total 150.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVSU | 28 | 38 | 66 |
| ORE | 50 | 50 | 100 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:0555–88
Taylor Bol Bowen makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 6:0555–89
Taylor Bol Bowen makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:4858–89
Gabriel Martinez makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tymias Williams assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 5:1458–91
Malique Ewin makes 0-foot tip in layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0958–93
Jerry Easter II makes 9-foot jumper (Taylor Bol Bowen assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5361–93
Gabriel Martinez makes 24-foot three point jumper (Eli Pippins assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5761–96
Dwayne Aristode makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jerry Easter II assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4163–96
Eli Pippins makes 18-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:2263–98
Jerry Easter II makes 9-foot floating jump shot (Wei Lin assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0964–98
Eli Pippins makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0866–98
Eli Pippins makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4466–100
Wei Lin makes 13-foot jumper
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MVSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G G. Martinez PF · #21 | 29 | 14 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
T T. Williams F · #7 | 36 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
C C. Cameron G · #8 | 35 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
M M. Anglo G · #5 | 30 | 8 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
A AJ Abrams G · #2 | 13 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
T T. Wu C · #9 | 15 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
E E. Pippins PG · #1 | 23 | 9 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
T T. James Jr. G · #20 | 19 | 11 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Q Q. Pang PF · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M M. McCoy F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
H H. Wilson Jr. F · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Sutton F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Foster G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 66 | 24-61 | 8-17 | 10-19 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MVSU | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 24-61 | 39-64 |
| FG% | 39 | 61 |
| 3PT | 8-17 | 16-33 |
| 3P% | 47 | 48 |
| FT | 10-19 | 6-7 |
| FT% | 53 | 86 |
| REB | 26 | 42 |
| OR | 12 | 10 |
| DR | 14 | 32 |
| AST | 12 | 31 |
| STL | 8 | 8 |
| BLK | 0 | 7 |
| TO | 10 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 10 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 13 |
| FBPs | 12 | 26 |
| PIP | 30 | 40 |
| PF | 10 | 17 |
| LL | 0 | 35 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 98 |
At lock MVSU 59.44–89.92 ORE · ORE by 30.5 pts vs MVSU +35.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock
HitG. Martinez · MVSU
29 MIN · 14 PTSA. Meadow · ORE
15 MIN · 9 PTSJasper Johnson · ORE
STAT · 21 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-6 FG · 5-5 3PTCaleb Cameron · MVSU
STAT · 35 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-11 FG · 1-1 3PTTory James Jr. · MVSU
STAT · 19 MIN · 11 PTS · 4-9 FG · 3-7 3PTTaylor Bol Bowen · ORE
STAT · 16 MIN · 10 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Miss Valley St vs Oregon pick result · Nov 11, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is MVSU +35.5, with a 59% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day