Prairie View A&M Panthers at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Final · ESPN+
63–68Last shot · Anthony Gause makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected PV 71.48–79.20 RGV
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 1:14 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2568406327
- Winner: UT Rio Grande (75%)
- Spread: PV +8.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Over 149.5 (58%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
PV 71.48–79.20 RGV · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseRGV +17.3 off · PV +18.0 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to RGV
- RecordRGV 2-0 · PV 2-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward RGV -8.5 / total 150.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PV | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| RGV | 30 | 38 | 68 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:2555–62
Bobby Crawford Jr. makes layup
- FT2nd Half 4:3356–62
Michael Eley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1856–63
Jace Posey makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2156–66
B.B. Knight makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jace Posey assists)
- FT2nd Half 3:0957–66
Davis Bynum makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 3:0958–66
Davis Bynum makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:5058–67
Jace Posey makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0660–67
Micah Bell makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:3560–68
Devon Pryor makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3661–68
Davis Bynum makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0862–68
Anthony Gause makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0863–68
Anthony Gause makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| PV | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E E. Page F · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 D. Bynum F · #7 | 36 | 26 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
 D. Williams G · #3 | 32 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 M. Bell G · #4 | 27 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
 M. Eley G · #9 | 29 | 5 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
 J. Wharton F · #5 | 11 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
D D. Ceaser G · #24 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
E E. Mitchell G · #23 | 36 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Gause G · #0 | 19 | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
B B. Aijero F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Fazande F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
D D. Rivers G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Tidor G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Lee G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 20-51 | 2-18 | 21-27 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PV | RGV | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-51 | 20-51 |
| FG% | 39 | 39 |
| 3PT | 2-18 | 3-13 |
| 3P% | 11 | 23 |
| FT | 21-27 | 25-35 |
| FT% | 78 | 71 |
| REB | 31 | 38 |
| OR | 9 | 14 |
| DR | 22 | 24 |
| AST | 7 | 14 |
| STL | 6 | 7 |
| BLK | 5 | 4 |
| TO | 10 | 10 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 10 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 11 | 10 |
| FBPs | 14 | 9 |
| PIP | 22 | 34 |
| PF | 23 | 20 |
| LL | 8 | 10 |
| LC | 10 | 10 |
| LPCT | 29 | 63 |
At lock PV 71.48–79.20 RGV · RGV by 7.7 pts vs PV +8.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitE. Page · PV
8 MIN · 0-0 FGB. Crawford Jr. · RGV
28 MIN · 8 PTSDavis Bynum · PV
STAT · 36 MIN · 26 PTS · 10-16 FG · 0-1 3PTJace Posey · RGV
STAT · 34 MIN · 22 PTS · 7-13 FG · 8-11 FTAnthony Gause · PV
STAT · 19 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-6 FG · 1-4 3PTB.B. Knight · RGV
STAT · 29 MIN · 14 PTS · 2-7 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Prairie View vs UT Rio Grande pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is PV +8.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day