Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Final · ESPN+
67–60Last shot · Jamyron Keller misses 24-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected AMCC 63.06–66.53 UL
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2857948446
- Winner: Louisiana (63%)
- Spread: UL -3.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 130.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
AMCC 63.06–66.53 UL · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUL +4.5 off · AMCC +15.6 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UL
- RecordUL 0-2 · AMCC 1-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward UL -3.5 / total 129.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMCC | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| UL | 28 | 32 | 60 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:5860–49
Mekhi Cooper makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3260–50
Mekhi Cooper makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3260–51
Mekhi Cooper makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1262–51
Bin Basil makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:0062–54
De'vion Lavergne makes 25-foot three point jumper (Mekhi Cooper assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:4363–54
Sebastian Robinson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4364–54
Sebastian Robinson makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3464–57
De'vion Lavergne makes 26-foot three point jumper (Dani Pounds assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3065–57
Daniel Michelini-Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3066–57
Daniel Michelini-Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1866–60
De'vion Lavergne makes 24-foot three point jumper (Josiah Harris assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:1567–60
Bryson Wheatfall makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| AMCC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CJ Worsham F · #42 | 13 | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 D. Mukuna F · #3 | 34 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
 D. Michelini-Jackson G · #10 | 27 | 12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 I. Lewis G · #9 | 18 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Mizell G · #0 | 9 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 K. Wallace F · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Basil F · #22 | 27 | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
 D. Kent Jr. G · #12 | 17 | 10 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 B. Billingsley G · #5 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 D. Winston G · #2 | 13 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 B. Wheatfall G · #4 | 19 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
 S. Robinson G · #1 | 19 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 L. Foon C · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ambrose C · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Jones G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Horton G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 67 | 20-43 | 5-13 | 22-32 | 40 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 25 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| AMCC | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-43 | 15-48 |
| FG% | 47 | 31 |
| 3PT | 5-13 | 7-20 |
| 3P% | 38 | 35 |
| FT | 22-32 | 23-28 |
| FT% | 69 | 82 |
| REB | 40 | 22 |
| OR | 10 | 6 |
| DR | 30 | 16 |
| AST | 6 | 12 |
| STL | 3 | 7 |
| BLK | 4 | 4 |
| TO | 17 | 11 |
| TTO | 1 | 2 |
| ToTO | 17 | 11 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 11 |
| FBPs | 5 | 2 |
| PIP | 26 | 16 |
| PF | 25 | 24 |
| LL | 15 | 3 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 95 | 4 |
At lock AMCC 63.06–66.53 UL · UL by 3.5 pts vs AMCC +3.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
HitCJ Worsham · AMCC
13 MIN · 9 PTSD. Pounds · UL
20 MIN · 6 PTSJamyron Keller · UL
STAT · 36 MIN · 19 PTS · 5-12 FG · 2-5 3PTMekhi Cooper · UL
STAT · 28 MIN · 17 PTS · 3-4 FG · 2-2 3PTBin Basil · AMCC
STAT · 27 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-7 FG · 4-6 FTDaniel Michelini-Jackson · AMCC
STAT · 27 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-7 FG · 2-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Texas A&M-CC vs Louisiana pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is AMCC +3.5, with a 50% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day