McNeese Cowboys at North Texas Mean Green
Final · ESPN+
67–77Last shot · Elijah Moore makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected MCN 72.07–71.99 UNT
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 4, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 809504810
- Winner: North Texas (62%)
- Score error (both teams)7
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
MCN 72.07–71.99 UNT · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUNT +21.3 off · MCN +18.5 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UNT
- RecordUNT 2-0 · MCN 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward MCN -2.5 / total 138.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| UNT | 34 | 43 | 77 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 2:4661–71
Jerrell Colbert makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4662–71
Jerrell Colbert makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0663–71
Dellquan Warren makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5163–73
Je'Shawn Stevenson makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:2363–74
Cash Chavis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:2363–75
Cash Chavis makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1364–75
Jaylon Dean-Vines makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:1365–75
Jaylon Dean-Vines makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5965–76
Cash Chavis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:5965–77
Cash Chavis makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0866–77
Elijah Moore makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0867–77
Elijah Moore makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MCN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Nitu F · #7 | 27 | 10 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
 J. Colbert F · #23 | 27 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
 L. Johnson G · #6 | 33 | 17 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
 E. Moore G · #81 | 33 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 D. Warren G · #1 | 26 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 A. Maluk F · #21 | 21 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 C. Chest F · #11 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
J J. Dean-Vines G · #12 | 28 | 20 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Mazou F · #27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
M MJ Madison F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
T T. Hunter G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
J J. DeVall G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
N N. DeVall G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Villarreal G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 JJ Rembert G · #2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Cherenfant G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 67 | 20-55 | 10-28 | 17-21 | 32 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MCN | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 20-55 | 26-56 |
| FG% | 36 | 46 |
| 3PT | 10-28 | 7-27 |
| 3P% | 36 | 26 |
| FT | 17-21 | 18-22 |
| FT% | 81 | 82 |
| REB | 32 | 37 |
| OR | 14 | 13 |
| DR | 18 | 24 |
| AST | 13 | 12 |
| STL | 9 | 4 |
| BLK | 2 | 0 |
| TO | 15 | 12 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 15 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 10 | 22 |
| FBPs | 9 | 19 |
| PIP | 18 | 34 |
| PF | 18 | 17 |
| LL | 10 | 12 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 42 | 51 |
At lock MCN 72.07–71.99 UNT · MCN by 0.1 pts vs UNT +1.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Nitu · MCN
27 MIN · 10 PTSO. Ndour · UNT
26 MIN · 7 PTSJe'Shawn Stevenson · UNT
STAT · 37 MIN · 30 PTS · 12-22 FG · 3-10 3PTJaylon Dean-Vines · MCN
STAT · 28 MIN · 20 PTS · 6-11 FG · 4-7 3PTLarry Johnson · MCN
STAT · 33 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-17 FG · 2-5 3PTCash Chavis · UNT
STAT · 31 MIN · 12 PTS · 2-8 FG · 1-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
McNeese vs North Texas pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is UNT +1.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day