NCAABFinalNewman Arena

Pepperdine Waves at Cornell Big Red

Final · ESPN+

Pepperdine85–86Cornell
PepperdineCornell
Final

Last shot · Oliver Kanden misses 26-foot three point jumper

Pepperdine Waves
0-1 · L1
384 PF · 280 PA
85
Final
Final
Cornell Big Red
1-0 · L1
313 PF · 303 PA
86
PEPP 59%COR 41%

At lock: projected PEPP 82.11–79.57 COR

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1909761286

Missed · off by 9
Most typical sim
PEPP 82 – COR 80
Final
PEPP 85 – COR 86
  • Winner: Pepperdine (58%)
  • Spread: COR +3.5 covers (53%)
  • Total: Under 164.5 (64%)
  • Score error (both teams)9

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

PEPP 82.11–79.57 COR · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    COR +0.0 off · PEPP +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to COR
  • Market prior
    Blended 86% toward PEPP -2.5 / total 165.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
PEPP404585
COR464086

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 7:2972–80

    Evan Haywood makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 6:1872–82

    Kaspar Sepp makes 8-foot jumper

  • FT2nd Half 6:0373–82

    Alex Constanza makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:4176–82

    Alex Constanza makes 27-foot three point jumper (Will McClendon assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:2079–82

    Will McClendon makes 25-foot three point jumper (Evan Haywood assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:2380–82

    Alex Constanza makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:2880–83

    Kaspar Sepp makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:2880–84

    Kaspar Sepp makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:1682–84

    Alex Constanza makes driving layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:1683–84

    Alex Constanza makes free throw 1 of 1

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4085–84

    Alex Constanza makes driving layup

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2485–86

    Jacob Beccles makes driving layup (Kaspar Sepp assists)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

PEPPMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
O. Kanden
F · #14
2000-20-20-030000212
P. Majstorovic
F · #3
33155-91-34-633110303
A. Robinson
F · #21
2082-30-04-841101132
E. Haywood
G · #5
32145-152-72-252340142
J. Williamson
G · #99
26135-123-80-051220230
A. Constanza
F · #23
22259-181-56-890421360
Y. Fritz
F · #9
1000-00-00-032021123
E. Meuser
F · #22
100-00-00-000000000
A. Balian
G · #25
1200-10-10-030110212
W. McClendon
G · #2
25103-61-43-423110111
F. Biberovic
F · #8
—————————————
C. Chou
G · #11
—————————————
D. Russo-Nance
G · #4
—————————————
O. Sahar
G · #0
—————————————
D. Mager
G · #1
—————————————
Team8529-668-3019-28381213133162215

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

PEPPCOR
FG29-6633-64
FG%4452
3PT8-3014-29
3P%2748
FT19-286-10
FT%6860
REB3832
OR1610
DR2222
AST1222
STL138
BLK34
TO1316
TTO00
ToTO1316
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1813
FBPs1016
PIP3638
PF1523
LL315
LC1212
LPCT1678
Computer pick · Total
Under 164.5
52%

At lock PEPP 82.11–79.57 COR · 2.8 pts under 164.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • O. Kanden · PEPP

    20 MIN · 0-2 FG
  • Q. Gibson · COR

    22 MIN · 4 PTS
  • Alex Constanza · PEPP

    STAT · 22 MIN · 25 PTS · 9-18 FG · 1-5 3PT
  • Jacob Beccles · COR

    STAT · 28 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-12 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Mateen Rafiq · COR

    STAT · 23 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-9 FG · 4-6 3PT
  • Petar Majstorovic · PEPP

    STAT · 33 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-9 FG · 1-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Pepperdine vs Cornell pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 164.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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