Western Michigan Broncos at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
TV · ESPN+
@Model projects WMU 72.66 – 66.99 USI · below the strong-play bar (edge +0.8%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
J. Washington · WMU
GuardA. Harakow · WMU
GuardK. Brown · USI
GuardY. Yamanouchi-Williams · USI
ForwardA. Trnka · USI
Guard
Projected prop · Jaylen Washington (WMU) 11.28 pts · 12.25 pts/game this season, × 0.92 for the projected WMU score
At lock: projected WMU 72.66–66.99 USI
The model
How this number was built
WMU 72.66–66.99 USI · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUSI +1.2 off · WMU +3.1 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+3.4 pts to USI
- RecordUSI 1-3 · WMU 3-1
- Market priorBlended 83% toward WMU -7.5 / total 139.5
Season leaders
Jaylen WashingtonPTS 12.2
Adam HarakowREB 6.2- Jaylen WashingtonAST 3.8
Kaden BrownPTS 10.8
Yuto Yamanouchi-WilliamsREB 7.2
Afan TrnkaAST 3.0
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WMU | USI | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | W3 | L2 |
| OPP PPG | 60.8 | 66.5 |
| PTS | 79.0 | 78.0 |
| FG% | 48 | 43 |
| 3P% | 42 | 29 |
| REB | 41.5 | 48.0 |
| AST | 14.3 | 14.0 |
| BLK | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| STL | 6.3 | 9.5 |
| TTO | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| ToTO | 14.0 | 12.8 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
W Michigan vs S Indiana prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects W Michigan 72.7, S Indiana 67.0. Model win probability: S Indiana 31%, W Michigan 69%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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