South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Final · ESPN+
78–70Last shot · Derek Edmond misses 29-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected SCST 71.30–77.56 UPST
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1208961175
- Winner: SC Upstate (61%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SCST 71.30–77.56 UPST · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUPST +25.6 off · SCST +18.6 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UPST
- RecordUPST 0-2 · SCST 2-0
- Market priorBlended 71% toward UPST -3.5 / total 148.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCST | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| UPST | 35 | 35 | 70 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4567–63
Jayden Pretty makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0170–63
Noah Treadwell makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
- XP2nd Half 1:1470–64
Jalyn Patterson makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:4872–64
Mitchell Taylor makes 7-foot turnaround jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4072–66
Amont'e Allen-Johnson makes layup (Zachary Johnson assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2372–68
Derek Edmond makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2073–68
Mitchell Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2074–68
Mitchell Taylor makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:0376–68
DeShaun Jackson Jr. makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0276–70
Ries Naugle makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:0177–70
Mitchell Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0178–70
Mitchell Taylor makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SCST | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Parker F · #55 | 14 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
 T. Tindal F · #13 | 21 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
T T. Raymon F · #10 | 12 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 N. Treadwell G · #0 | 22 | 18 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 M. Taylor G · #12 | 26 | 12 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
A A. NGomabie F · #92 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
B B. Adams F · #23 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
J J. Pretty F · #6 | 14 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
 D. Hodge Jr. F · #7 | 12 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
C C. Barnes PG · #2 | 10 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Jackson Jr. PG · #1 | 28 | 8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
C C. Everett Jr. G · #3 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
B B. Harris G · #4 | 15 | 12 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 B. Jackson G · #5 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
J J. Cone G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 78 | 27-79 | 10-27 | 14-18 | 47 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SCST | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-79 | 21-53 |
| FG% | 34 | 40 |
| 3PT | 10-27 | 3-21 |
| 3P% | 37 | 14 |
| FT | 14-18 | 25-36 |
| FT% | 78 | 69 |
| REB | 47 | 45 |
| OR | 18 | 9 |
| DR | 29 | 36 |
| AST | 11 | 11 |
| STL | 10 | 2 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 6 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 6 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 19 | 10 |
| FBPs | 8 | 10 |
| PIP | 32 | 36 |
| PF | 28 | 20 |
| LL | 8 | 9 |
| LC | 10 | 10 |
| LPCT | 46 | 42 |
At lock SCST 71.30–77.56 UPST · UPST by 6.3 pts vs SCST +7.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitC. Parker · SCST
14 MIN · 2 PTSD. Edmond · UPST
37 MIN · 14 PTSNoah Treadwell · SCST
STAT · 22 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-15 FG · 6-13 3PTAlessandro Perotti · UPST
STAT · 26 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-6 FG · 8-12 FTRies Naugle · UPST
STAT · 32 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-12 FG · 1-6 3PTMitchell Taylor · SCST
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-8 FG · 0-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SC State vs SC Upstate pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SCST +7.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day