NCAABFinalMemorial Gymnasium (TN)

Prairie View A&M Panthers at Vanderbilt Commodores

Final · SECN+

Prairie View62–89Vanderbilt
Prairie ViewVanderbilt
Final

Last shot · Elijah Mitchell makes layup

Prairie View A&M Panthers
2-3 · L3
377 PF · 410 PA
62
Final
Final
Vanderbilt Commodores
4-0 · W4
361 PF · 241 PA
89
PV <1%VAN >99%

At lock: projected PV 61.18–93.07 VAN

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 12, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1361884711

Winner called · off by 5
Most typical sim
PV 61 – VAN 93
Final
PV 62 – VAN 89
  • Winner: Vanderbilt (100%)
  • Spread: PV +37.5 covers (69%)
  • Total: Over 153.5 (55%)
  • Score error (both teams)5

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

PV 61.18–93.07 VAN · Medium confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    VAN +6.4 off · PV +2.3 off, shrunk 27%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to VAN
  • Record
    VAN 4-0 · PV 2-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 83% toward VAN -41.5 / total 154.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
PV174562
VAN464389

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 3:5748–84

    T.O. Barrett makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 3:5748–85

    T.O. Barrett makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1850–85

    Davian Williams makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:3752–85

    Elijah Mitchell makes layup (Davian Williams assists)

  • FT2nd Half 2:1653–85

    Michael Eley makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 2:1654–85

    Michael Eley makes free throw 2 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0654–88

    Ethan Mgbako makes 33-foot three point jumper (Mavrick Hawkins assists)

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3257–88

    Elijah Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Michael Eley assists)

  • FT2nd Half 1:1458–88

    Michael Eley makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:0158–89

    Mavrick Hawkins makes free throw 1 of 2

  • DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:3660–89

    Elijah Mitchell makes 6-foot dunk

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0862–89

    Elijah Mitchell makes layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

PVMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
D. Bynum
F · #7
25115-160-21-241000134
J. Wharton
F · #5
1821-10-00-000110002
A. Gause
G · #0
27136-121-30-012340014
M. Bell
G · #4
1800-20-10-000300002
M. Eley
G · #9
31113-110-05-641132130
B
B. Aijero
F · #8
1542-20-00-020000022
D
D. Ceaser
G · #24
200-00-00-000000000
E
E. Mitchell
G · #23
36157-101-20-020110111
D. Williams
G · #3
1521-30-00-033110120
J. Lee
G · #10
1342-40-00-010000103
E
E. Page
F · #21
—————————————
J. Fazande
F · #25
—————————————
D
D. Rivers
G · #1
—————————————
S. Tidor
G · #2
—————————————
Team6227-612-86-81971110261318

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

PVVAN
FG27-6134-60
FG%4457
3PT2-86-21
3P%2529
FT6-815-23
FT%7565
REB1944
OR618
DR1326
AST715
STL1010
BLK25
TO1116
TTO11
ToTO1116
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1818
FBPs1123
PIP3656
PF1812
LL045
LC00
LPCT098
Computer pick · SpreadStrong play
PV +37.5
59%

At lock PV 61.18–93.07 VAN · VAN by 31.9 pts vs PV +37.5 · 59% is the confidence saved at lock

Hit
Players
  • D. Bynum · PV

    25 MIN · 11 PTS
  • C. Bing · VAN

    22 MIN · 15 PTS
  • Ace Glass · VAN

    STAT · 23 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-14 FG · 5-11 3PT
  • Elijah Mitchell · PV

    STAT · 36 MIN · 15 PTS · 7-10 FG · 1-2 3PT
  • Tyler Tanner · VAN

    STAT · 28 MIN · 14 PTS · 5-10 FG · 0-1 3PT
  • Anthony Gause · PV

    STAT · 27 MIN · 13 PTS · 6-12 FG · 1-3 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Prairie View vs Vanderbilt pick result · Nov 13, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is PV +37.5, with a 59% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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