Niagara Purple Eagles at West Virginia Mountaineers
Final · ESPN+
46–91Last shot · Tae Blackshear misses 25-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NIA 58.03–83.01 WVU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3425694763
- Winner: West Virginia (98%)
- Spread: NIA +28.5 covers (62%)
- Total: Over 140.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)20
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NIA 58.03–83.01 WVU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWVU +0.0 off · NIA +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WVU
- Market priorBlended 86% toward WVU -28.5 / total 141.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 30 | 16 | 46 |
| WVU | 43 | 48 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 7:5541–74
Brenen Lorient makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 7:5541–75
Brenen Lorient makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 7:1641–78
Brenen Lorient makes 24-foot three point jumper (Martin Somerville assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:4943–78
Brian Angeletti makes layup
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 6:2043–80
Mouhamed Sylla makes 6-foot dunk (Miles Sadler assists)
- FT2nd Half 5:5143–81
Miles Sadler makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:5143–82
Miles Sadler makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:1843–84
Javan Buchanan makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:0846–84
Tae Blackshear makes 25-foot three point jumper (Logan Woods assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3846–86
Martin Somerville makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:1646–89
Javan Buchanan makes 25-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0146–91
Amadou Seini makes 7-foot hook shot
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NIA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 F. Rotta F · #5 | 15 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 S. Miccoli G · #13 | 15 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
 R. Ruey G · #0 | 26 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
 B. Rieber G · #8 | 28 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 L. Woods G · #4 | 27 | 12 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
D D. Emokhare F · #24 | 13 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 B. Angeletti F · #12 | 8 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 V. Todorovic F · #1 | 10 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 T. Blackshear G · #77 | 14 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 G. Dalmau G · #9 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Walters G · #2 | 18 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 C. Farrell G · #10 | 24 | 8 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 N. Slingerland F · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Redmond G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 46 | 19-45 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 24 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NIA | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 19-45 | 32-61 |
| FG% | 42 | 52 |
| 3PT | 8-20 | 13-30 |
| 3P% | 40 | 43 |
| FT | 0-4 | 14-22 |
| FT% | 0 | 64 |
| REB | 24 | 36 |
| OR | 0 | 8 |
| DR | 24 | 28 |
| AST | 9 | 17 |
| STL | 2 | 13 |
| BLK | 4 | 2 |
| TO | 24 | 9 |
| TTO | 2 | 1 |
| ToTO | 24 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 3 | 24 |
| FBPs | 3 | 9 |
| PIP | 22 | 38 |
| PF | 16 | 14 |
| LL | 10 | 45 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 19 | 77 |
At lock NIA 58.03–83.01 WVU · WVU by 25.0 pts vs NIA +28.5 · 56% is the confidence saved at lock
MissF. Rotta · NIA
15 MIN · 0-0 FGB. Lorient · WVU
24 MIN · 13 PTSMiles Sadler · WVU
STAT · 28 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-14 FG · 1-6 3PTLogan Woods · NIA
STAT · 27 MIN · 12 PTS · 5-8 FG · 2-4 3PTMartin Somerville · WVU
STAT · 22 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-5 FG · 3-4 3PTFinley Bizjack · WVU
STAT · 24 MIN · 11 PTS · 2-8 FG · 1-5 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Niagara vs West Virginia pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NIA +28.5, with a 56% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day