Queens University Royals at BYU Cougars
Final · ESPN+
82–98Last shot · Robert Wright III makes driving layup
At lock: projected QUC 78.75–103.29 BYU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 2:19 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1043670223
- Winner: BYU (99%)
- Spread: QUC +29.5 covers (58%)
- Total: Over 181.5 (71%)
- Score error (both teams)11
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
QUC 78.75–103.29 BYU · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseBYU +15.4 off · QUC +13.9 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to BYU
- RecordBYU 3-0 · QUC 2-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward BYU -28.5 / total 181.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 42 | 40 | 82 |
| BYU | 54 | 44 | 98 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:3174–91
Jaxon Kohler makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:3174–92
Jaxon Kohler makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2276–92
Nasir Mann makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:4178–92
Isaiah Henry makes 1-foot dunk (Nasir Mann assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:4579–92
Nasir Mann makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:4580–92
Nasir Mann makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1180–94
Khadim Mboup makes 4-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 1:0980–95
Nate Pickens makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:0980–96
Nate Pickens makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4781–96
Avantae Parker makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4782–96
Avantae Parker makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0882–98
Robert Wright III makes driving layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| QUC | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Parker F · #6 | 24 | 16 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
 R. Ballard F · #8 | 27 | 18 | 6-13 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
 I. Henry G · #5 | 28 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
 N. Mann G · #1 | 33 | 14 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 J. Watford G · #0 | 31 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
N N. McLean F · #33 | 14 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 A. Bicer F · #14 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Jones G · #20 | 26 | 18 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 D. Kearse G · #11 | 16 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 J. Matusek F · #51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Osayanrhion F · #35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Celestin F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Sullivan G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Pack G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Walter G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 S. Wilson G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
S S. Zatari G · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Crider G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Walter G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 82 | 28-69 | 14-34 | 12-14 | 38 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 15 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| QUC | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 28-69 | 35-65 |
| FG% | 41 | 54 |
| 3PT | 14-34 | 17-37 |
| 3P% | 41 | 46 |
| FT | 12-14 | 11-17 |
| FT% | 86 | 65 |
| REB | 38 | 37 |
| OR | 13 | 8 |
| DR | 25 | 29 |
| AST | 22 | 20 |
| STL | 11 | 9 |
| BLK | 3 | 8 |
| TO | 13 | 12 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 13 | 12 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 15 |
| FBPs | 14 | 18 |
| PIP | 24 | 36 |
| PF | 15 | 17 |
| LL | 2 | 22 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 3 | 92 |
At lock QUC 78.75–103.29 BYU · BYU by 24.5 pts vs QUC +28.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Parker · QUC
24 MIN · 16 PTSB. Branch III · BYU
28 MIN · 15 PTSRobert Wright III · BYU
STAT · 32 MIN · 21 PTS · 9-19 FG · 2-6 3PTRickey Ballard · QUC
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-13 FG · 6-12 3PTCaleb Jones · QUC
STAT · 26 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-12 FG · 4-8 3PTJaxon Kohler · BYU
STAT · 25 MIN · 15 PTS · 5-8 FG · 3-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Queens vs BYU pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is QUC +28.5, with a 57% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day