Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Stanford Cardinal
Final · ACCNX
63–81Last shot · Evan Stinson makes layup
At lock: projected OAK 67.31–79.33 STAN
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 992351628
- Winner: Stanford (87%)
- Spread: OAK +13.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Over 146.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)5
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
OAK 67.31–79.33 STAN · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSTAN +18.4 off · OAK +31.7 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to STAN
- RecordSTAN 2-0 · OAK 0-2
- Market priorBlended 71% toward STAN -14.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 33 | 30 | 63 |
| STAN | 38 | 43 | 81 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 5:0059–69
Nick Townsend makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 5:0059–70
Nick Townsend makes free throw 2 of 2
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 4:4161–70
Chris Fields Jr. makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 4:2561–71
Nick Townsend makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:0461–73
Christian Bliss makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:4561–75
Aidan Cammann makes 16-foot turnaround jump shot (Christian Bliss assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:0761–76
Nick Townsend makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:0761–77
Nick Townsend makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:4562–77
Ryder Bradley makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4762–79
Aidan Cammann makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:3063–79
Belal El Shakery makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0363–81
Evan Stinson makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| OAK | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Fields Jr. F · #2 | 33 | 23 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
 B. El Shakery F · #24 | 21 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 W. Marshall IV G · #13 | 17 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 N. Mashhour G · #0 | 28 | 9 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 RJ Taylor G · #10 | 29 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 N. Ahner F · #22 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 I. Theodile F · #21 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 C. Thompson F · #6 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 D. Hamilton G · #11 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 R. Bradley G · #3 | 29 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 B. Swartz G · #5 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 W. Kassi G · #4 | 20 | 11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
 H. Mashhour G · #1 | 8 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Hill F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 I. Stojanovski G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 22-49 | 3-17 | 16-25 | 29 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| OAK | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 22-49 | 29-62 |
| FG% | 45 | 47 |
| 3PT | 3-17 | 9-27 |
| 3P% | 18 | 33 |
| FT | 16-25 | 14-15 |
| FT% | 64 | 93 |
| REB | 29 | 36 |
| OR | 6 | 10 |
| DR | 23 | 26 |
| AST | 4 | 13 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 2 | 3 |
| TO | 14 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 11 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 8 | 13 |
| FBPs | 5 | 2 |
| PIP | 34 | 38 |
| PF | 17 | 19 |
| LL | 4 | 18 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 10 | 87 |
At lock OAK 67.31–79.33 STAN · STAN by 12.0 pts vs OAK +13.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissC. Fields Jr. · OAK
33 MIN · 23 PTSA. Cammann · STAN
23 MIN · 13 PTSNick Townsend · STAN
STAT · 37 MIN · 25 PTS · 8-11 FG · 1-2 3PTChristian Bliss · STAN
STAT · 30 MIN · 17 PTS · 5-8 FG · 4-5 3PTWilliam Kassi · OAK
STAT · 20 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-7 FG · 0-2 3PTNassim Mashhour · OAK
STAT · 28 MIN · 9 PTS · 3-11 FG · 1-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Oakland vs Stanford pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is OAK +13.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day