Long Beach State Beach at Utah Utes
Final · ESPN+
63–66Last shot · McCaden Adams misses 31-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected LBSU 65.34–82.58 UTAH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1588195812
- Winner: Utah (94%)
- Spread: LBSU +19.5 covers (57%)
- Total: Under 148.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)19
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LBSU 65.34–82.58 UTAH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseUTAH +0.0 off · LBSU +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to UTAH
- Market priorBlended 86% toward UTAH -19.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 40 | 23 | 63 |
| UTAH | 28 | 38 | 66 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 7:4456–57
Alec Anigbata makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 7:4456–58
Alec Anigbata makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:2956–60
Alec Anigbata makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 5:4357–60
Brett Wright makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3558–60
Max Vanlaningham makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:3559–60
Max Vanlaningham makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0559–61
Trey Campbell makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:0559–62
Trey Campbell makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:3559–64
TJ Burch makes driving layup (Trey Campbell assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:5462–64
McCaden Adams makes 26-foot three point jumper
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0262–66
Jackson Holcombe makes layup (Trey Campbell assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:4563–66
McCaden Adams makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Vanlaningham F · #33 | 31 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
 JJ Gray G · #25 | 33 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 Y. Sissoko G · #3 | 32 | 15 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 M. Adams G · #4 | 33 | 21 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 J. Payne G · #7 | 27 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
 B. Wright F · #14 | 13 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 H. Lau F · #6 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Tengan G · #0 | 15 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 C. Jones G · #24 | 13 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 G. Brcic F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 JJ Chaikovsky F · #9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Smith F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 N. Amenhauser C · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Bahr G · #88 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Chung G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 63 | 21-53 | 10-25 | 11-18 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LBSU | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 21-53 | 26-51 |
| FG% | 40 | 51 |
| 3PT | 10-25 | 5-17 |
| 3P% | 40 | 29 |
| FT | 11-18 | 9-19 |
| FT% | 61 | 47 |
| REB | 27 | 40 |
| OR | 6 | 9 |
| DR | 21 | 31 |
| AST | 11 | 18 |
| STL | 11 | 7 |
| BLK | 3 | 4 |
| TO | 10 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 10 | 15 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 20 | 14 |
| FBPs | 12 | 22 |
| PIP | 18 | 40 |
| PF | 16 | 18 |
| LL | 17 | 5 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 58 | 36 |
At lock LBSU 65.34–82.58 UTAH · UTAH by 17.2 pts vs LBSU +19.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Vanlaningham · LBSU
31 MIN · 3 PTSA. Anigbata · UTAH
33 MIN · 10 PTSMcCaden Adams · LBSU
STAT · 33 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-19 FG · 4-11 3PTTrey Campbell · UTAH
STAT · 37 MIN · 20 PTS · 7-11 FG · 3-5 3PTYohann Sissoko · LBSU
STAT · 32 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-9 FG · 2-2 3PTJackson Holcombe · UTAH
STAT · 33 MIN · 14 PTS · 6-10 FG · 0-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Long Beach St vs Utah pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is LBSU +19.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day