Maine Black Bears at Sacred Heart Pioneers
Final · ESPN+
74–72Last shot · Darius Lopes misses free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected ME 68.23–75.01 SHU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 2:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1504160622
- Winner: Sacred Heart (72%)
- Spread: SHU -5.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Under 143.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)8
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
ME 68.23–75.01 SHU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseSHU +22.2 off · ME +18.9 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to SHU
- RecordSHU 1-1 · ME 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward SHU -5.5 / total 141.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ME | 25 | 49 | 74 |
| SHU | 27 | 45 | 72 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:2464–64
Ayden Evans makes layup (Caleb Crawford assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:5667–64
DeAndre Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ace Flagg assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:4267–66
Jo Van Buggenhout makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0069–66
Caleb Crawford makes 13-foot step back jumpshot
- FT2nd Half 1:2270–66
Ace Flagg makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:0870–68
Jaden Slaughter makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:0870–69
Jaden Slaughter makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:2371–69
DeAndre Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2372–69
DeAndre Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1373–69
Ace Flagg makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0673–72
Samson Reilly makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaden Slaughter assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0574–72
Darius Lopes makes free throw 1 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| ME | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. Gribben F · #10 | 24 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
 A. Flagg F · #11 | 33 | 14 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 |
 H. Franz G · #23 | 20 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 V. Garcia Adsten G · #1 | 18 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Williams G · #2 | 25 | 16 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 W. Triestman F · #15 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 Y. Bamba F · #6 | 21 | 11 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
 A. Evans F · #5 | 16 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 D. Lopes G · #8 | 11 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 C. Crawford G · #4 | 24 | 10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 W. Waddles F · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Ojuri F · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Byther F · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 O. Faubert F · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Bedard G · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 74 | 25-59 | 10-26 | 14-17 | 39 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 16 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| ME | SHU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 25-59 | 24-68 |
| FG% | 42 | 35 |
| 3PT | 10-26 | 5-25 |
| 3P% | 38 | 20 |
| FT | 14-17 | 19-22 |
| FT% | 82 | 86 |
| REB | 39 | 43 |
| OR | 6 | 13 |
| DR | 33 | 30 |
| AST | 17 | 12 |
| STL | 4 | 6 |
| BLK | 7 | 3 |
| TO | 11 | 7 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 11 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 9 |
| FBPs | 12 | 9 |
| PIP | 24 | 36 |
| PF | 16 | 17 |
| LL | 6 | 7 |
| LC | 14 | 14 |
| LPCT | 38 | 44 |
At lock ME 68.23–75.01 SHU · SHU by 6.8 pts vs SHU -5.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
MissK. Gribben · ME
24 MIN · 2 PTSK. Curtis · SHU
27 MIN · 7 PTSSamson Reilly · SHU
STAT · 20 MIN · 18 PTS · 3-10 FG · 3-8 3PTDeAndre Williams · ME
STAT · 25 MIN · 16 PTS · 5-10 FG · 4-6 3PTJaylen Robinson · SHU
STAT · 36 MIN · 15 PTS · 7-14 FG · 0-1 3PTJaden Slaughter · SHU
STAT · 34 MIN · 15 PTS · 6-10 FG · 0-1 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Maine vs Sacred Heart pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SHU -5.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day