Winthrop Eagles at Queens University Royals
Final · YouTube
98–103Last shot · Corbin Pack makes free throw 2 of 2
At lock: projected WIN 79.49–81.52 QUC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 1, 11:01 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3149758173
- Winner: Queens (57%)
- Spread: QUC -1.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Under 167.5 (80%)
- Score error (both teams)39
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
WIN 79.49–81.52 QUC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseQUC +0.0 off · WIN +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to QUC
- Market priorBlended 72% toward QUC -3.5 / total 168.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 38 | 60 | 98 |
| QUC | 55 | 48 | 103 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 0:3788–98
Jordan Watford makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:2891–98
Spence Sims makes 25-foot three point jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:2691–99
Nasir Mann makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2691–100
Nasir Mann makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:1593–100
Keshawn Fisher makes layup
- FT2nd Half 0:0994–100
Keshawn Fisher makes free throw 1 of 3
- FT2nd Half 0:0995–100
Keshawn Fisher makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT2nd Half 0:0996–100
Keshawn Fisher makes free throw 3 of 3
- FT2nd Half 0:0896–101
Jordan Watford makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0298–101
Seifeldin Hendawy makes 17-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 0:0198–102
Corbin Pack makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0198–103
Corbin Pack makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| WIN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 G. Natsvlishvili F · #13 | 31 | 16 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
 A. Smith III G · #3 | 30 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
S S. Sims G · #11 | 35 | 19 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 K. Fisher G · #45 | 35 | 32 | 12-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
 S. Hendawy G · #25 | 27 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
J J. Cwik F · #2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Hamilton F · #21 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
K K. Morgan G · #8 | 27 | 16 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
E E. Singh Sarai G · #6 | 7 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 K. Evans G · #0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
T T. Harris Jr. F · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
R R. Knotts III G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
T T. Parrish G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 M. Davis G · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Harrison G · #22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Christy G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 98 | 38-72 | 16-34 | 6-11 | 38 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 18 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| WIN | QUC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 38-72 | 38-68 |
| FG% | 53 | 56 |
| 3PT | 16-34 | 10-27 |
| 3P% | 47 | 37 |
| FT | 6-11 | 17-26 |
| FT% | 55 | 65 |
| REB | 38 | 34 |
| OR | 12 | 9 |
| DR | 26 | 25 |
| AST | 22 | 16 |
| STL | 5 | 10 |
| BLK | 6 | 3 |
| TO | 14 | 9 |
| TTO | 1 | 0 |
| ToTO | 14 | 9 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 13 | 17 |
| FBPs | 12 | 29 |
| PIP | 40 | 50 |
| PF | 18 | 14 |
| LL | 0 | 18 |
| LC | 0 | 0 |
| LPCT | 0 | 97 |
At lock WIN 79.49–81.52 QUC · 6.5 pts under 167.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
MissG. Natsvlishvili · WIN
31 MIN · 16 PTSA. Parker · QUC
26 MIN · 5 PTSKeshawn Fisher · WIN
STAT · 35 MIN · 32 PTS · 12-15 FG · 5-8 3PTJordan Watford · QUC
STAT · 32 MIN · 26 PTS · 10-15 FG · 0-1 3PTSpence Sims · WIN
STAT · 35 MIN · 19 PTS · 7-14 FG · 5-12 3PTNasir Mann · QUC
STAT · 35 MIN · 19 PTS · 6-11 FG · 3-6 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Winthrop vs Queens pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 167.5, with a 53% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day