UAlbany Great Danes at Holy Cross Crusaders
TV · ESPN+
@Model projects UALB 74.27 – 71.39 HC · below the strong-play bar (edge -1.7%; strong needs +3%) · informational lean, not a recommended bet
O. Engen · UALB
GuardZ. Matulu · UALB
GuardT. Wilson · HC
GuardC. Hare · HC
ForwardJ. Germany · HC
Guard
Projected prop · Ollie Engen (UALB) 18.96 pts · 18.00 pts/game this season, × 1.05 for the projected UALB score
At lock: projected UALB 74.27–71.39 HC
The model
How this number was built
UALB 74.27–71.39 HC · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseHC -3.5 off · UALB -0.5 off, shrunk 27%
- Home field+3.4 pts to HC
- RecordHC 0-3 · UALB 2-2
- Market priorBlended 69% toward UALB -2.5 / total 145.5
Season leaders
Ollie EngenPTS 18.0
Zacharie MatuluREB 7.8- Ollie EngenAST 5.5
Tristen WilsonPTS 15.3
Chuck HareREB 6.3
Jaelon GermanyAST 3.3
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| UALB | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | L2 | L3 |
| OPP PPG | 73.3 | 92.7 |
| PTS | 70.5 | 64.0 |
| FG% | 45 | 37 |
| 3P% | 28 | 33 |
| REB | 38.0 | 33.3 |
| AST | 13.3 | 13.3 |
| BLK | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| STL | 7.8 | 4.3 |
| TTO | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| ToTO | 14.5 | 14.7 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
UAlbany vs Holy Cross prediction · Nov 15, 2026
The model projects UAlbany 74.3, Holy Cross 71.4. Model win probability: Holy Cross 40%, UAlbany 60%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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