North Carolina A&T Aggies at Ohio Bobcats
Final · ESPN+
70–80Last shot · Danny Delgardo III misses 25-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NCAT 75.14–86.28 OHIO
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1171689644
- Winner: Ohio (84%)
- Spread: NCAT +12.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Over 161.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)12
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NCAT 75.14–86.28 OHIO · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseOHIO +9.0 off · NCAT +21.8 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to OHIO
- RecordOHIO 2-0 · NCAT 1-1
- Market priorBlended 85% toward OHIO -15.5 / total 161.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAT | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| OHIO | 38 | 42 | 80 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2064–70
Will Felton makes layup (Ponce James assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:5766–70
Ponce James makes 14-foot jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:3666–72
Jackson Paveletzke makes 17-foot jumper
- FT2nd Half 2:2367–72
Ponce James makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 2:2368–72
Ponce James makes free throw 2 of 2
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 2:1268–74
Javan Simmons makes 1-foot dunk (Dusan Makitan assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3468–77
Ché Brogan makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jackson Paveletzke assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:3968–78
Dusan Makitan makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:3069–78
Ponce James makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3070–78
Ponce James makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2570–79
Ché Brogan makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2570–80
Ché Brogan makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Webster F · #8 | 19 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
 W. Felton C · #34 | 21 | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 D. Delgardo III G · #3 | 31 | 5 | 1-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
 P. James G · #1 | 32 | 21 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 S. Lancaster G · #0 | 11 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Simley F · #5 | 15 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 E. Kalliontzis C · #31 | 13 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 R. Westmoreland III G · #21 | 11 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 B. Ivery G · #11 | 14 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
 V. Pourlidas G · #6 | 15 | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 M. Burton G · #2 | 18 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
 C. Siska G · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Hurns G · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. McKie G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 U. Kellman-Nicholes G · #10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 70 | 23-60 | 5-22 | 19-25 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 21 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NCAT | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 23-60 | 28-55 |
| FG% | 38 | 51 |
| 3PT | 5-22 | 6-13 |
| 3P% | 23 | 46 |
| FT | 19-25 | 18-25 |
| FT% | 76 | 72 |
| REB | 29 | 42 |
| OR | 10 | 11 |
| DR | 19 | 31 |
| AST | 8 | 15 |
| STL | 10 | 4 |
| BLK | 4 | 5 |
| TO | 9 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 15 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| TECH | 1 | 1 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 16 | 13 |
| FBPs | 14 | 5 |
| PIP | 30 | 42 |
| PF | 21 | 21 |
| LL | 9 | 16 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 32 | 65 |
At lock NCAT 75.14–86.28 OHIO · OHIO by 11.1 pts vs NCAT +12.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitM. Webster · NCAT
19 MIN · 0-1 FGD. Makitan · OHIO
35 MIN · 12 PTSPonce James · NCAT
STAT · 32 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-13 FG · 1-3 3PTJavan Simmons · OHIO
STAT · 26 MIN · 18 PTS · 8-11 FG · 0-1 3PTChé Brogan · OHIO
STAT · 12 MIN · 18 PTS · 5-5 FG · 1-1 3PTWill Felton · NCAT
STAT · 21 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-6 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
NC A&T vs Ohio pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NCAT +12.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day