Southern Illinois Salukis at Kansas City Roos
Final · Summit League Network
93–100Last shot · Jalen Haynes misses 32-foot three point pullup jump shot
At lock: projected SIU 71.82–71.68 KC
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 6:09 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 759961527
- Winner: S Illinois (51%)
- Spread: KC +1.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Over 143.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)48
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SIU 71.82–71.68 KC · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseKC +22.2 off · SIU +10.5 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to KC
- RecordKC 1-1 · SIU 1-1
- Market priorBlended 71% toward SIU -1.5 / total 143.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 42 | 51 | 93 |
| KC | 55 | 45 | 100 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:3379–91
Carl Daughtery Jr. makes layup (Assane Diop assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:2981–91
Jeremiah Jackson makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0981–93
Sebastian Hartmann makes 7-foot hook shot (Lincoln Goodwin assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:1983–93
Jalen Haynes makes 7-foot floating jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 2:0183–96
Jaylen Smith makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sebastian Hartmann assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:3485–96
Jalen Haynes makes 9-foot floating jump shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:5487–96
Max Pikaar makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:4787–98
Lincoln Goodwin makes layup (Assane Diop assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3590–98
Jalen Haynes makes 27-foot three point jumper
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:1693–98
Jeremiah Jackson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Max Pikaar assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0993–99
Jaylen Smith makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0993–100
Jaylen Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SIU | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. Pikaar F · #35 | 25 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
 J. Webber C · #33 | 19 | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
 D. Mayo Jr. G | 31 | 14 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 J. Jackson G · #0 | 34 | 18 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Haynes G · #1 | 33 | 32 | 10-23 | 1-7 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
 L. Susko G · #24 | 13 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 J. Fugate G · #23 | 15 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
 L. Walsh G · #14 | 15 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 C. Hawkins G · #21 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. McClure G · #88 | 10 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 P. Aligbe F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ty Laur F · #50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 P. Ranieri F · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Pauliukonis F · #4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. Hill F · #30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 93 | 33-66 | 8-23 | 19-24 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SIU | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 33-66 | 33-57 |
| FG% | 50 | 58 |
| 3PT | 8-23 | 14-23 |
| 3P% | 35 | 61 |
| FT | 19-24 | 20-28 |
| FT% | 79 | 71 |
| REB | 31 | 30 |
| OR | 11 | 7 |
| DR | 20 | 23 |
| AST | 12 | 23 |
| STL | 3 | 2 |
| BLK | 3 | 6 |
| TO | 9 | 11 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 11 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| TECH | 1 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 1 |
| PTS OFF TO | 12 | 13 |
| FBPs | 10 | 5 |
| PIP | 46 | 30 |
| PF | 26 | 20 |
| LL | 3 | 18 |
| LC | 7 | 7 |
| LPCT | 6 | 88 |
At lock SIU 71.82–71.68 KC · 0.00 pts under 143.5 · 50% is the confidence saved at lock
MissM. Pikaar · SIU
25 MIN · 9 PTSA. Bakhtadze · KC
11 MIN · 4 PTSJalen Haynes · SIU
STAT · 33 MIN · 32 PTS · 10-23 FG · 1-7 3PTLincoln Goodwin · KC
STAT · 22 MIN · 19 PTS · 4-7 FG · 2-2 3PTJeremiah Jackson · SIU
STAT · 34 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-13 FG · 4-7 3PTCarl Daughtery Jr. · KC
STAT · 32 MIN · 18 PTS · 7-13 FG · 4-8 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
S Illinois vs Kansas City pick result · Nov 6, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 143.5, with a 50% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day