NJIT Highlanders at Iona Gaels
Final · ESPN+
49–72Last shot · AJ Altobelli misses 25-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected NJIT 68.36–77.18 IONA
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 5, 2:17 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2547819169
- Winner: Iona (78%)
- Spread: NJIT +9.5 covers (53%)
- Total: Under 146.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)25
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
NJIT 68.36–77.18 IONA · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseIONA +20.5 off · NJIT +23.1 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to IONA
- RecordIONA 2-0 · NJIT 0-2
- Market priorBlended 71% toward IONA -9.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJIT | 19 | 30 | 49 |
| IONA | 39 | 33 | 72 |
Scoring plays
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 8:2240–58
Mario Tatum Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper (David Bolden assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:5140–60
Keyshawn Mitchell makes layup (Kevon Vanderhorst assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 7:3743–60
Matheo Coffi makes 23-foot three pointer (David Bolden assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 5:3545–60
Victor Vanderstraeten makes layup (AJ Altobelli assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 4:4647–60
Mario Tatum Jr. makes driving layup (AJ Altobelli assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:3247–63
Martin Kheil makes 24-foot three pointer (Aiden Disu assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:5347–65
Aiden Disu makes driving layup (Alliou Fall assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5649–65
Victor Vanderstraeten makes driving layup (Mario Tatum Jr. assists)
- FT2nd Half 2:3749–66
Martin Kheil makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:5849–68
Kevon Vanderhorst makes driving layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4549–70
Oliver Sassella makes driving layup (Aiden Disu assists)
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 0:4049–72
Ore Odutayo makes 4-foot dunk (Panagiotis Lefas assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| NJIT | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 V. Vanderstraeten F · #6 | 28 | 14 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
 M. Coffi F · #10 | 28 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 M. Tatum Jr. G · #2 | 25 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 D. Bolden G · #1 | 35 | 8 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
 B. Stores Jr. G · #12 | 19 | 7 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
 B. Oliver F · #22 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Kelly F · #25 | 23 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 S. Jimenez-Vojnic C · #13 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 J. Durrough G · #0 | 7 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
 R. Awad G · #44 | 14 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 A. Altobelli G · #5 | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Z. Scherler F · #33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Q. Duncan G · #14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 49 | 18-63 | 5-26 | 8-10 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| NJIT | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 18-63 | 29-53 |
| FG% | 29 | 55 |
| 3PT | 5-26 | 8-24 |
| 3P% | 19 | 33 |
| FT | 8-10 | 6-10 |
| FT% | 80 | 60 |
| REB | 26 | 45 |
| OR | 10 | 10 |
| DR | 16 | 35 |
| AST | 12 | 17 |
| STL | 8 | 5 |
| BLK | 0 | 4 |
| TO | 8 | 17 |
| TTO | 1 | 1 |
| ToTO | 8 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 12 |
| FBPs | 7 | 14 |
| PIP | 26 | 38 |
| PF | 10 | 13 |
| LL | 6 | 24 |
| LC | 2 | 2 |
| LPCT | 18 | 76 |
At lock NJIT 68.36–77.18 IONA · IONA by 8.8 pts vs NJIT +9.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
MissV. Vanderstraeten · NJIT
28 MIN · 14 PTSA. Disu · IONA
22 MIN · 4 PTSMartin Kheil · IONA
STAT · 20 MIN · 12 PTS · 4-5 FG · 3-4 3PTSadiku Ibine Ayo · IONA
STAT · 24 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-10 FG · 1-4 3PTKevon Vanderhorst · IONA
STAT · 30 MIN · 10 PTS · 4-8 FG · 2-6 3PTDavid Bolden · NJIT
STAT · 35 MIN · 8 PTS · 2-11 FG · 2-7 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
NJIT vs Iona pick result · Nov 5, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is NJIT +9.5, with a 51% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day