SE Louisiana Lions at Ole Miss Rebels
Final · SECN+
51–91Last shot · Haki Muhammad II makes layup
At lock: projected SELA 62.13–85.00 MISS
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 10, 2:19 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 81067891
- Winner: Ole Miss (98%)
- Spread: SELA +26.5 covers (56%)
- Total: Over 146.5 (58%)
- Score error (both teams)16
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
SELA 62.13–85.00 MISS · Medium confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseMISS +5.7 off · SELA -0.2 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to MISS
- RecordMISS 3-0 · SELA 1-2
- Market priorBlended 84% toward MISS -25.5 / total 146.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SELA | 20 | 31 | 51 |
| MISS | 49 | 42 | 91 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 7:0942–80
Adam Clark makes layup (Ilias Kamardine assists)
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:1242–82
Adam Clark makes layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:1742–84
Santiago Trouet makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot (Patton Pinkins assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:2642–87
Dasear Haskins makes 26-foot three point jumper (Roman Siulepa assists)
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 4:0344–87
Jackson Furman makes 17-foot pullup jump shot
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:4844–89
Adam Clark makes 11-foot pullup jump shot
- FT2nd Half 3:3645–89
Jackson Furman makes free throw 2 of 3
- FT2nd Half 3:3646–89
Jackson Furman makes free throw 3 of 3
- DUNKSHOT2nd Half 3:0846–91
Yohance Connor makes 1-foot dunk
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:0348–91
JJ Massaquoi makes layup
- FT2nd Half 1:0949–91
Haki Muhammad II makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0151–91
Haki Muhammad II makes layup
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| SELA | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 G. Shoemaker F · #32 | 15 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 Y. Ndjonga F · #23 | 16 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 L. Suber G · #0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 T. Rolison G · #3 | 32 | 7 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 Q. Allen G · #8 | 15 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 JJ Massaquoi F · #5 | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
 A. Sims II F · #2 | 25 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
 D. Akoue C · #10 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 H. Muhammad II G · #11 | 15 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 J. Furman G · #1 | 29 | 13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
 G. Sanford G · #9 | 17 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 T. Bailey G · #4 | 13 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 P. Jimenez G · #7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 T. Perry G · #6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Al-Naziat G · #15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Nyam G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 51 | 18-51 | 3-17 | 12-19 | 33 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 17 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SELA | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 18-51 | 34-66 |
| FG% | 35 | 52 |
| 3PT | 3-17 | 8-19 |
| 3P% | 18 | 42 |
| FT | 12-19 | 15-20 |
| FT% | 63 | 75 |
| REB | 33 | 37 |
| OR | 12 | 14 |
| DR | 21 | 23 |
| AST | 5 | 23 |
| STL | 0 | 16 |
| BLK | 5 | 5 |
| TO | 23 | 8 |
| TTO | 2 | 0 |
| ToTO | 23 | 8 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 2 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 39 |
| FBPs | 0 | 27 |
| PIP | 18 | 50 |
| PF | 17 | 17 |
| LL | 3 | 45 |
| LC | 3 | 3 |
| LPCT | 11 | 88 |
At lock SELA 62.13–85.00 MISS · MISS by 22.9 pts vs SELA +26.5 · 57% is the confidence saved at lock
MissG. Shoemaker · SELA
15 MIN · 4 PTSR. Siulepa · MISS
17 MIN · 0-2 FGAdam Clark · MISS
STAT · 25 MIN · 23 PTS · 10-13 FG · 1-3 3PTJackson Furman · SELA
STAT · 29 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-9 FG · 1-2 3PTIlias Kamardine · MISS
STAT · 26 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-3 3PTCorey Stephenson · MISS
STAT · 24 MIN · 12 PTS · 3-8 FG · 1-2 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
SE Louisiana vs Ole Miss pick result · Nov 10, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is SELA +26.5, with a 57% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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