Colgate Raiders at Drexel Dragons
Final · FloSports
74–77Last shot · Andrew Alekseyenko makes 26-foot three point jumper (Blake Forrest assists)
At lock: projected COLG 71.95–74.00 DREX
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 6, 11:02 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2481281253
- Winner: Drexel (58%)
- Spread: DREX -1.5 covers (54%)
- Total: Under 146.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)5
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COLG 71.95–74.00 DREX · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseDREX +12.6 off · COLG +6.5 off, shrunk 11%
- Home field+3.4 pts to DREX
- RecordDREX 1-1 · COLG 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward COLG -1.5 / total 140.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 25 | 49 | 74 |
| DREX | 29 | 48 | 77 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 1:3063–71
Latief Lorenzano-White makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 1:3063–72
Latief Lorenzano-White makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1566–72
Josh Ahayere makes 23-foot three point jumper (Parker Jones assists)
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 0:2768–72
Sam Wright makes 0-foot tip in layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2668–73
Panagiotis Pagonis makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:2668–74
Panagiotis Pagonis makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1769–74
Andrew Alekseyenko makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1569–75
Latief Lorenzano-White makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0671–75
Sam Wright makes layup (Andrew Alekseyenko assists)
- FT2nd Half 0:0571–76
Latief Lorenzano-White makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:0571–77
Latief Lorenzano-White makes free throw 2 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:0074–77
Andrew Alekseyenko makes 26-foot three point jumper (Blake Forrest assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| COLG | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Alekseyenko F · #22 | 32 | 20 | 7-17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
 S. Wright F · #33 | 32 | 21 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
 B. Forrest G · #2 | 25 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
 J. Ahayere G · #4 | 27 | 18 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
 P. Jones G · #10 | 31 | 8 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
 A. Odetoyinbo F · #15 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
 E. Brown F · #0 | 8 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 C. Brennan F · #9 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 J. Harrington G · #21 | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. McKoy G · #3 | 20 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
 I. Skinn G · #7 | 9 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
 C. Wright F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Niv G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 C. Pugh G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 74 | 27-71 | 13-36 | 7-10 | 44 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 20 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COLG | DREX | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-71 | 25-60 |
| FG% | 38 | 42 |
| 3PT | 13-36 | 8-26 |
| 3P% | 36 | 31 |
| FT | 7-10 | 19-22 |
| FT% | 70 | 86 |
| REB | 44 | 39 |
| OR | 13 | 7 |
| DR | 31 | 32 |
| AST | 19 | 20 |
| STL | 2 | 6 |
| BLK | 1 | 4 |
| TO | 9 | 9 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 9 | 9 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 1 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 4 | 19 |
| FBPs | 6 | 9 |
| PIP | 24 | 34 |
| PF | 20 | 12 |
| LL | 11 | 9 |
| LC | 4 | 4 |
| LPCT | 45 | 49 |
At lock COLG 71.95–74.00 DREX · DREX by 2.0 pts vs DREX -1.5 · 51% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Alekseyenko · COLG
32 MIN · 20 PTSD. Simonovic · DREX
27 MIN · 10 PTSSam Wright · COLG
STAT · 32 MIN · 21 PTS · 7-13 FG · 4-7 3PTJosh Ahayere · COLG
STAT · 27 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-8 FG · 3-3 3PTPanagiotis Pagonis · DREX
STAT · 31 MIN · 14 PTS · 3-9 FG · 2-5 3PTLaDricus Pittman · DREX
STAT · 26 MIN · 13 PTS · 4-5 FG · 3-3 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Colgate vs Drexel pick result · Nov 7, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is DREX -1.5, with a 51% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day