Colgate Raiders at Washington Huskies
Final · B1G+
76–90Last shot · Parker Jones misses 17-foot step back jumpshot
At lock: projected COLG 69.64–82.58 WASH
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2531467015
- Winner: Washington (88%)
- Spread: COLG +14.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Under 153.5 (56%)
- Score error (both teams)13
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
COLG 69.64–82.58 WASH · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWASH +0.0 off · COLG +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WASH
- Market priorBlended 86% toward WASH -14.5 / total 154.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| WASH | 43 | 47 | 90 |
Scoring plays
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:5970–82
Andrew Alekseyenko makes layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:0772–82
team makes 83-foot shot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4272–84
Tayshawn Comer makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:3373–84
Parker Jones makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4973–85
LeJuan Watts makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:4973–86
LeJuan Watts makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3973–87
Ryan Beasley makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:3973–88
Ryan Beasley makes free throw 2 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:2875–88
Andrew Alekseyenko makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 0:2876–88
Andrew Alekseyenko makes free throw 1 of 1
- FT2nd Half 0:1776–89
LeJuan Watts makes free throw 1 of 2
- FT2nd Half 0:1776–90
LeJuan Watts makes free throw 2 of 2
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| COLG | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 A. Alekseyenko F · #22 | 33 | 25 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
 S. Wright F · #33 | 27 | 15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 B. Forrest G · #2 | 27 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 J. Ahayere G · #4 | 21 | 6 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
 P. Jones G · #10 | 32 | 17 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
 A. Odetoyinbo F · #15 | 9 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 E. Brown F · #0 | 11 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Brennan F · #9 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 K. McKoy G · #3 | 22 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
 C. Pugh G · #5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 I. Skinn G · #7 | 13 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
 C. Wright F · #23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Harrington G · #21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Niv G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 76 | 27-62 | 7-22 | 13-26 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 23 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| COLG | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 27-62 | 25-54 |
| FG% | 44 | 46 |
| 3PT | 7-22 | 10-28 |
| 3P% | 32 | 36 |
| FT | 13-26 | 30-36 |
| FT% | 50 | 83 |
| REB | 35 | 34 |
| OR | 12 | 10 |
| DR | 23 | 24 |
| AST | 15 | 10 |
| STL | 4 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 5 |
| TO | 10 | 10 |
| TTO | 0 | 1 |
| ToTO | 10 | 10 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 9 | 8 |
| FBPs | 0 | 16 |
| PIP | 34 | 26 |
| PF | 23 | 24 |
| LL | 5 | 16 |
| LC | 8 | 8 |
| LPCT | 29 | 67 |
At lock COLG 69.64–82.58 WASH · WASH by 12.9 pts vs COLG +14.5 · 53% is the confidence saved at lock
HitA. Alekseyenko · COLG
33 MIN · 25 PTSN. Dzepina · WASH
30 MIN · 27 PTSLeJuan Watts · WASH
STAT · 32 MIN · 22 PTS · 3-6 FG · 2-4 3PTParker Jones · COLG
STAT · 32 MIN · 17 PTS · 6-11 FG · 3-7 3PTSam Wright · COLG
STAT · 27 MIN · 15 PTS · 4-8 FG · 1-2 3PTLathan Sommerville · WASH
STAT · 16 MIN · 11 PTS · 3-5 FG · 5-5 FT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Colgate vs Washington pick result · Nov 2, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is COLG +14.5, with a 53% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day