NCAABFinalCase Gym

Northeastern Huskies at Boston University Terriers

Final · ESPN+

Northeastern85–93Boston U
NortheasternBoston U
Final

Last shot · Brayden Young misses layup

Northeastern Huskies
0-1 · W2
315 PF · 333 PA
85
Final
Final
Boston University Terriers
1-0 · W1
320 PF · 298 PA
93
NE 43%BU 57%

At lock: projected NE 73.37–75.40 BU

How close was our sim?

The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.

Pre-game sim locked Nov 2, 2:47 AM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 2615649300

Winner called · off by 28
Most typical sim
NE 74 – BU 76
Final
NE 85 – BU 93
  • Winner: Boston U (57%)
  • Spread: BU -1.5 covers (53%)
  • Total: Under 150.5 (57%)
  • Score error (both teams)28

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

The model

How this number was built

NE 73.37–75.40 BU · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

  • Attack / defense
    BU +0.0 off · NE +0.0 off, shrunk 0%
  • Home field
    +3.4 pts to BU
  • Market prior
    Blended 72% toward BU -2.5 / total 148.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2T
NE364985
BU464793

Scoring plays

  • FT2nd Half 4:0078–83

    Kyrone Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 3:0380–83

    Brayden Young makes layup (Dorian Grosber assists)

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4280–85

    Michelangelo Oberti makes layup

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:1280–87

    EJ Vernon makes layup

  • FT2nd Half 1:3980–88

    Azmar Abdullah makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 1:3980–89

    Azmar Abdullah makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:4180–90

    Azmar Abdullah makes free throw 1 of 2

  • JUMPSHOT2nd Half 0:3483–90

    Rashad King makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dorian Grosber assists)

  • FT2nd Half 0:2283–91

    Azmar Abdullah makes free throw 1 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:2283–92

    Azmar Abdullah makes free throw 2 of 2

  • FT2nd Half 0:1383–93

    Matai Baptiste makes free throw 2 of 2

  • LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 0:0785–93

    Rashad King makes layup

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

NEMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF
L. Koelsch
C · #54
1200-00-00-010010101
D. Grosber
G · #8
36186-143-73-422121023
L. Bond
G · #23
3473-50-11-240300315
M. Loughnane
G · #4
37104-110-32-255111052
R. King
G · #9
29218-141-74-522200024
S. Baptiste
F · #24
400-10-10-000000000
B. Young
F · #30
16134-50-05-840212314
P. Pinter
C · #13
1242-20-00-020000023
D. Houlihan
G · #11
300-00-00-010100010
R. Williams
G · #2
17124-72-42-211110010
D. Jung
F · #1
—————————————
J. Icitovic
F · #7
—————————————
J. Goodwin
G · #0
—————————————
M. Newton
G · #10
—————————————
Team8531-596-2317-232510116471822

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

NEBU
FG31-5932-59
FG%5354
3PT6-236-19
3P%2632
FT17-2323-30
FT%7477
REB2536
OR712
DR1824
AST1010
STL65
BLK43
TO1111
TTO01
ToTO1111
TECH00
TECH00
FLAG00
PTS OFF TO1613
FBPs812
PIP4850
PF2219
LL217
LC88
LPCT588
Computer pick · Total
Under 150.5
52%

At lock NE 73.37–75.40 BU · 1.7 pts under 150.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock

Miss
Players
  • L. Koelsch · NE

    12 MIN · 0-0 FG
  • S. Hughes · BU

    33 MIN · 15 PTS
  • Rashad King · NE

    STAT · 29 MIN · 21 PTS · 8-14 FG · 1-7 3PT
  • Azmar Abdullah · BU

    STAT · 35 MIN · 21 PTS · 6-12 FG · 2-6 3PT
  • Kyrone Alexander · BU

    STAT · 37 MIN · 19 PTS · 4-10 FG · 2-5 3PT
  • Dorian Grosber · NE

    STAT · 36 MIN · 18 PTS · 6-14 FG · 3-7 3PT

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Northeastern vs Boston U pick result · Nov 2, 2026

The OVERLINE computer pick is Under 150.5, with a 52% model probability — it lost. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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