Campbell Fighting Camels at Western Michigan Broncos
Final · ESPN+
71–87Last shot · Lance Waddles misses 25-foot three point jumper
At lock: projected CAM 70.50–77.04 WMU
How close was our sim?
The play-by-play sim is a separate engine from the computer pick; it can lean differently.
Pre-game sim locked Nov 7, 8:50 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 316380022
- Winner: W Michigan (73%)
- Spread: WMU -5.5 covers (55%)
- Total: Under 148.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)10
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CAM 70.50–77.04 WMU · Low confidence
Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Attack / defenseWMU +8.5 off · CAM +14.8 off, shrunk 20%
- Home field+3.4 pts to WMU
- RecordWMU 2-1 · CAM 0-2
- Market priorBlended 85% toward WMU -4.5 / total 151.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAM | 35 | 36 | 71 |
| WMU | 41 | 46 | 87 |
Scoring plays
- FT2nd Half 6:3563–77
Sincere Folk makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 6:3562–77
Sincere Folk makes free throw 1 of 2
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 6:0963–79
Jaylen Washington Jr. makes driving layup
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 5:5365–79
Rashawn Inglemon makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot
- FT2nd Half 4:3866–79
Rashawn Inglemon makes free throw 2 of 2
- FT2nd Half 4:1966–80
Jaylen Washington Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 3:0666–82
Mason Bendinger makes 14-foot step back jumpshot
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 2:4968–82
Caleb McAbee makes driving layup
- TIPSHOT2nd Half 2:1068–84
Mason Bendinger makes 0-foot tip in layup
- LAYUPSHOT2nd Half 1:4170–84
Rashawn Inglemon makes driving layup
- FT2nd Half 1:4171–84
Rashawn Inglemon makes free throw 1 of 1
- JUMPSHOT2nd Half 1:1371–87
Jaylen Washington Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Adam Harakow assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| CAM | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Moore F · #23 | 15 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 N. Kapic F · #45 | 34 | 14 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
 R. Inglemon G · #2 | 32 | 24 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
 AJ Wright Jr. G · #1 | 37 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 L. Waddles G · #7 | 38 | 16 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
 K. Rogers F · #21 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 L. Savanovic G · #22 | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 B. Ritger G · #15 | 6 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 C. McAbee G · #10 | 21 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 S. Folk G · #4 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 B. Thet F · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 H. Shellhammer G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Browder G · #12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Angau G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 K. Rtail G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Butkus G · #11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 71 | 26-57 | 7-24 | 12-17 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 14 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CAM | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 26-57 | 30-57 |
| FG% | 46 | 53 |
| 3PT | 7-24 | 13-28 |
| 3P% | 29 | 46 |
| FT | 12-17 | 14-18 |
| FT% | 71 | 78 |
| REB | 27 | 33 |
| OR | 8 | 10 |
| DR | 19 | 23 |
| AST | 15 | 15 |
| STL | 1 | 6 |
| BLK | 2 | 0 |
| TO | 8 | 7 |
| TTO | 0 | 0 |
| ToTO | 8 | 7 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| PTS OFF TO | 14 | 12 |
| FBPs | 10 | 15 |
| PIP | 30 | 30 |
| PF | 14 | 17 |
| LL | 8 | 19 |
| LC | 1 | 1 |
| LPCT | 37 | 58 |
At lock CAM 70.50–77.04 WMU · WMU by 6.5 pts vs WMU -5.5 · 52% is the confidence saved at lock
HitS. Moore · CAM
15 MIN · 4 PTSA. Kiudulas · WMU
30 MIN · 10 PTSJaylen Washington · WMU
STAT · 37 MIN · 27 PTS · 10-18 FG · 4-8 3PTRashawn Inglemon · CAM
STAT · 32 MIN · 24 PTS · 9-16 FG · 3-7 3PTLance Waddles · CAM
STAT · 38 MIN · 16 PTS · 6-14 FG · 1-7 3PTRob Lee Jr. · WMU
STAT · 29 MIN · 16 PTS · 4-6 FG · 3-4 3PT
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Campbell vs W Michigan pick result · Nov 8, 2026
The OVERLINE computer pick is WMU -5.5, with a 52% model probability — it won. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: NCAAB picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day